Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio
Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Weather Forecast — Cleveland, OH
Temperature: 83°F at first pitch
Wind: Light WNW winds 7–11 mph (blowing toward LF)
Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy, moderate humidity
Impact: Slight boost to balls hit to left field; otherwise neutral hitting environment
CURRENT ROSTERS
New York Mets
Rotation: Christian McLean, Kodai Senga, José Quintana, Christian Scott
Bullpen: Edwin Díaz, Brooks Raley, Adam Ottavino, Reed Garrett, Sean Reid‑Foley
Lineup:
Francisco Lindor (SS)
Pete Alonso (1B)
Brandon Nimmo (CF)
J.D. Martinez (DH)
Starling Marte (RF)
Brett Baty (3B)
Jeff McNeil (2B)
Francisco Alvarez (C)
Harrison Bader (LF)
Cleveland Guardians
Rotation: Jackson Griffin (rookie), Tanner Bibee, Gavin Williams, Triston McKenzie
Bullpen: Emmanuel Clase, Sam Hentges, Trevor Stephan, Cade Smith
Lineup:
Steven Kwan (LF)
Andrés Giménez (2B)
José Ramírez (3B)
Josh Naylor (1B)
David Fry (DH)
Will Brennan (RF)
Bo Naylor (C)
Brayan Rocchio (SS)
Tyler Freeman (CF)
INJURY REPORT
New York Mets
Starling Marte — Questionable (hamstring)
Edwin Díaz — Probable (shoulder fatigue)
Kodai Senga — Out (elbow)
Cleveland Guardians
Gavin Williams — Probable (back)
Trevor Stephan — Questionable (forearm)
Tyler Freeman — Out (ankle)
RECENT TEAM FORM
New York Mets — Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense averaging 3.8 runs/game
Alonso slugging .510 over last 15
Lindor hitting .295 over last 12
Bullpen ERA: 4.92 last 10
Mets have lost 6 of last 8 on the road
Cleveland Guardians — Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense averaging 4.9 runs/game
Ramírez hitting .325 over last 20
Josh Naylor with 4 HR in last 10
Bullpen ERA: 3.28 last 10
Guardians have won 5 straight at home
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
Christian McLean — RHP, Mets
2026 ERA: 4.63
WHIP: 1.32
Strengths: Good cutter, keeps ball down, induces weak contact
Weaknesses: Struggles vs. left‑handed hitters; occasional command lapses
Matchup Concern: Kwan, Giménez, Naylor all profile well vs. McLean’s cutter/sinker mix
Jackson Griffin — RHP, Guardians
2026 ERA: 3.54
WHIP: 1.21
Strengths: Strong fastball/slider combo, high strikeout rate
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to veteran power bats; Mets’ RH core (Alonso, Martinez) matches well
Matchup Advantage: Griffin’s slider neutralizes Baty and McNeil
KEY PLAYER VS. PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. José Ramírez vs. Christian McLean
Ramírez crushes cutters and sinkers.
McLean’s pitch profile plays directly into Ramírez’s strengths.
Edge: Ramírez
2. Pete Alonso vs. Jackson Griffin
Alonso handles velocity well and punishes mistakes.
Griffin’s slider must be sharp or Alonso can change the game with one swing.
Edge: Even — power vs. stuff
3. Steven Kwan vs. Mets Bullpen
Kwan’s contact skills excel late in games.
Mets’ bullpen has allowed 6 HR in last 10 games.
Edge: Kwan
4. Francisco Lindor vs. Guardians Infield
Lindor’s speed and line‑drive profile match well vs. Cleveland’s defensive shifts.
Rocchio’s range may limit Lindor’s infield hits.
Edge: Slight to Lindor
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season: Guardians lead 2–1
Last 20 Meetings: Guardians 11–9
Guardians have won six straight home games vs. Mets
Average margin at Progressive Field last 10: Guardians +2.2
BETTING TRENDS
New York Mets
ATS (Run Line): 51–64
O/U: Over in 6 of last 10
Road O/U: Over in 7 of last 10
Mets overs hit due to pitching volatility.
Cleveland Guardians
ATS (Run Line): 58–57
O/U: Under in 6 of last 10
Home ATS: 33–26
Guardians unders hit due to strong pitching at home.
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Guardians have covered run line in 5 of last 7
Over has hit in 4 of last 6
Ramírez has HR or multi‑hit game in 6 of last 10 vs. Mets
Game Odds
New York Mets 7
Cleveland Guardians – 123
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, August 5, 2026
