Scheduled first pitch: 7:40 p.m. EDT
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
Broadcast: MLB.TV, Prime Video/MLB Network regional feeds
This is Game 3 of a four‑game set. New York has taken the first two (9–5 and 3–2), and holds a 4–1 edge in the season series. Chicago sits atop the AL Central; New York is chasing Tampa Bay in the AL East.
Venue and weather
Rate Field – Chicago, IL
Park profile: Slightly hitter‑leaning when the weather is warm; power to the alleys plays, but it’s not a pure bandbox.
Gametime weather: Around 77°F, typical late‑July evening in Chicago, light breeze, dry conditions.
Conditions are neutral to mildly hitter‑friendly—no extreme wind or cold to suppress offense.
Team statistical profile
New York Yankees
Offense:
AVG: .234
OBP: .313
SLG: .418
Runs: 497 (4.7 per game, 10th in MLB)
Hits: 823
HR: 152
2B: 159
Pitching:
Team ERA: 3.41 (best in MLB)
WHIP: 1.19
K/BB: 941 K, 319 BB (2.95 ratio)
HR allowed: 103
Runs allowed: 409 (357 ER)
Bullpen:
Save percentage: 62.2% (28 saves, 17 blown in 45 chances)
53 holds; 355 relief appearances
Yankees are built on elite run prevention with above‑average power; the offense has been streaky but the staff is consistently strong.
Chicago White Sox
Record: 55–51 overall, 32–21 at home
Offense:
Colson Montgomery: 24 HR, .459 SLG (team power anchor)
The Sox are 38–14 when scoring five or more runs, underscoring a strong win rate when the bats wake up.
Recent form (last 10):
4–6, .227 AVG, 4.40 ERA, outscored by 2 runs
Chicago’s profile is that of a solid, above‑average club with a good home record and enough power to punish mistakes, but less overall depth than New York.
Probable pitching matchup
Cam Schlittler – RHP, Yankees
2026 line: 10–6, 2.07 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 157 K in 130.1 IP; only 25 BB.
Profile:
Strengths:
Command: Very low walk rate; attacks the zone without free baserunners.
Contact management: Limited hard contact; HR rate kept in check.
Workload: Consistently gives New York 6+ innings, protecting the bullpen.
Risks:
When he does miss, it tends to be up in the zone—White Sox power can punish isolated mistakes.
Schlittler is the clear individual edge in this game—ace‑level ERA and WHIP, with strikeout stuff and control.
Davis Martin – RHP, White Sox
2026 line: 9–5, 3.49 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 100 K in 111 IP.
Profile:
Strengths:
Reliable mid‑rotation arm; keeps Chicago in games.
Decent strikeout‑to‑walk ratio; can navigate lineups multiple times.
Risks:
WHIP and ERA both higher than Schlittler’s; vulnerable if he falls behind in counts.
Needs to avoid leadoff baserunners and keep the ball away from New York’s right‑handed power.
Martin is good enough to keep the total controlled, but he doesn’t match Schlittler’s ceiling.
Batter vs pitcher matchups
From MLB’s matchup grid:
White Sox vs Schlittler
Most Chicago hitters have minimal or no prior MLB history against Schlittler:
Andrew Benintendi: 3 AB, .333 AVG, .666 OPS
Meidroth (2B): 2 AB, .000 AVG
Colson Montgomery (SS): 3 AB, .000 AVG
The rest of the projected lineup (Murakami, Peters, Quero, Vargas, etc.) has either no recorded ABs or extremely small samples. This favors Schlittler—Chicago is largely seeing him fresh.
Yankees vs Davis Martin
Jose Caballero:
3 AB, .667 AVG, 3 RBI, 1.167 OPS
Jazz Chisholm Jr.:
5 AB, .200 AVG, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1.133 OPS
Paul Goldschmidt:
5 AB, .200 AVG, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1.000 OPS
Ben Rice:
6 AB, .333 AVG, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 1.262 OPS
Amed Rosario:
3 AB, .667 AVG, 2 RBI, 2.000 OPS
Schuemann:
4 AB, .500 AVG, 1.500 OPS
Anthony Volpe:
8 AB, .250 AVG, .625 OPS
New York has multiple bats with strong prior success against Martin—Caballero, Chisholm, Goldschmidt, Rice, Rosario, and Schuemann all show impactful small‑sample numbers.
Recent team form and series history
Yankees last 10: 7–3, .207 AVG, 3.60 ERA, outscored by 1 run (low batting average but elite pitching).
White Sox last 10: 4–6, .227 AVG, 4.40 ERA.
Series history (2026):
Season series: Yankees lead 4–1.
Current four‑game set: Yankees up 2–0 (9–5, 3–2).
New York has consistently found ways to win tight games against Chicago, leaning on pitching and timely power.
Injury reports
From ESPN pregame:
Chicago White Sox
Jordan Leasure (RP): 60‑Day IL (flexor)
Austin Hays (OF): 60‑Day IL (calf)
Ky Bush (SP): 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Drew Thorpe (SP): 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Tyler Gilbert (SP): 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
Prelander Berroa (RP): 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Kyle Teel (C): 10‑Day IL (ankle)
Tanner Murray (INF): 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Brooks Baldwin (INF): 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Mike Vasil (SP): 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Rotation and depth pieces are heavily impacted, but the core lineup (Montgomery, Murakami, etc.) is intact.
New York Yankees
Cody Bellinger (OF): 10‑Day IL (leg)
Carlos Rodón (SP): 15‑Day IL (elbow)
Aaron Judge (OF): 60‑Day IL (rib)
Giancarlo Stanton (DH): 10‑Day IL (leg)
Clarke Schmidt (SP): 60‑Day IL (elbow)
New York is missing major power (Judge, Stanton, Bellinger), but has compensated with depth and pitching.
Betting trends and market
Yankees road games have leaned under, driven by elite pitching and sometimes inconsistent offense.
Chicago’s totals have leaned over overall, but Martin’s presence and the Yankees’ staff pull this matchup toward a lower number.
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 139
Chicago White Sox 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 28, 2026
