Venue: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Surface: Natural grass
Capacity: ~42,900
Scheduled First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET / 4:05 PM PT
Weather Forecast (Philadelphia, PA)
Temperature: 87°F Humidity: 68% Wind: 9 mph SW (blowing out toward right‑center) Rain Chance: 20% Conditions: Warm, humid, hitter‑friendly air — slight carry boost for left‑handed power bats.
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Aaron Judge – OF: Active, minor toe soreness
Juan Soto – OF: Day‑to‑day, wrist tightness
Gerrit Cole – RHP: 15‑day IL, elbow inflammation
Anthony Rizzo – 1B: Out, back issues
Clay Holmes – RHP: Day‑to‑day, shoulder fatigue
Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper – 1B/OF: Active, minor quad tightness
Trea Turner – SS: Day‑to‑day, hamstring soreness
Zack Wheeler – RHP: 15‑day IL, forearm strain
Nick Castellanos – OF: Day‑to‑day, knee bruise
José Alvarado – LHP: Out, elbow recovery
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Ryan Weathers – LHP, Yankees
2026 Season: 4.18 ERA | 1.29 WHIP | 112.2 IP | 101 K | 33 BB
Profile: Four‑seam/slider/changeup; improved command; induces soft contact.
Strengths: Effective vs. left‑handed hitters; keeps ball down; strong road splits.
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to right‑handed power; Phillies’ right‑handed core (Bohm, Castellanos, Turner) poses challenges.
Vs. Phillies Lineup:
Philadelphia’s aggressive approach can elevate Weathers’ pitch count.
Must avoid elevated fastballs to Harper and Bohm.
Tim Mayza – LHP, Phillies
2026 Season: 3.71 ERA | 1.27 WHIP | 89.1 IP | 78 K | 25 BB
Profile: Sinker/slider specialist; heavy ground‑ball profile; typically a multi‑inning opener/spot starter.
Strengths: Excellent vs. left‑handed hitters; induces ground balls; strong home splits.
Weaknesses: Limited stamina; vulnerable to right‑handed power; Yankees’ right‑handed core (Judge, Stanton, Volpe) is dangerous.
Vs. Yankees Lineup:
New York’s patient approach can extend at‑bats.
Must avoid middle‑middle sinkers to Judge.
Key Player Matchups
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Tim Mayza
Judge crushes left‑handed pitching (.302 vs LHP in 2026).
Mayza must rely on his slider to avoid extra‑base damage.
Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Mayza
Soto’s plate discipline challenges Mayza’s pitch efficiency.
If Soto plays, his left‑on‑left ability is elite.
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Ryan Weathers
Harper excels vs. elevated fastballs and changeups.
Weathers must keep the ball down to avoid home‑run danger.
Alec Bohm (PHI) vs. Weathers
Bohm’s contact ability vs. lefties is strong.
High‑leverage matchup for run production.
Recent Team Form
New York Yankees
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Road Record: 27–23
Offense: 4.9 runs/game; elite plate discipline; strong power
Pitching: 3.92 team ERA; bullpen stabilizing
Trend: Playing confident baseball; lineup producing consistently.
Philadelphia Phillies
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Home Record: 29–22
Offense: 4.7 runs/game; strong situational hitting
Pitching: 4.08 team ERA; bullpen inconsistent
Trend: Competitive but streaky; injuries impacting rotation depth.
Series History
2024–2026 Combined: Yankees lead 10–7
At Citizens Bank Park: Yankees lead 6–4
Yankees have won three of the last five meetings.
Games tend to be moderately high‑scoring (avg. 8.6 runs/game).
Betting Trends
New York Yankees
6–4 in last 10 games
5–2 in Weathers’ last seven starts
Over has hit in 6 of last 9 Yankees games
Philadelphia Phillies
5–5 in last 10 home games
3–4 in Mayza’s last seven appearances
Under has hit in 5 of last 8 Phillies games
Head‑to‑Head
Yankees have won 6 of last 10 meetings
Over has hit in 7 of last 10 matchups
Citizens Bank Park boosts left‑handed power
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 122
Philadelphia Phillies 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 24, 2026
