Venue: loanDepot Park – Miami, Florida
Surface: Artificial turf
Capacity: ~37,000
Scheduled First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET / 1:10 PM PT
Weather Forecast (Miami, FL)
Temperature: 92°F Humidity: 74% Wind: 12 mph SE Rain Chance: 55% Conditions: Typical humid Miami afternoon — roof expected to be closed, eliminating weather impact on ball flight.
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. – OF: Day‑to‑day, ankle soreness
Xander Bogaerts – SS: Active, minor wrist tightness
Joe Musgrove – RHP: 15‑day IL, shoulder inflammation
Luis Campusano – C: Day‑to‑day, thumb bruise
Robert Suarez – RHP: Out, elbow fatigue
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. – OF: Day‑to‑day, quad tightness
Jake Burger – 3B: Active, minor back stiffness
Eury Pérez – RHP: Out, elbow rehab
Trevor Rogers – LHP: 15‑day IL, forearm strain
Nick Fortes – C: Day‑to‑day, knee soreness
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
JP Sears – LHP, Padres
2026 Season: 4.12 ERA | 1.27 WHIP | 113.2 IP | 102 K | 31 BB
Profile: Four‑seam/slider/changeup; strong command; keeps ball down.
Strengths: Excellent vs. left‑handed hitters; induces soft contact; strong road splits.
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to right‑handed power; Marlins’ right‑handed core (Burger, Bell, De La Cruz) poses challenges.
Vs. Marlins Lineup:
Miami’s aggressive right‑handed hitters match well vs. Sears’ fastball.
Sears must rely on his slider to neutralize Burger.
Edward “Eu” Perez – RHP, Marlins
2026 Season: 3.68 ERA | 1.23 WHIP | 118.1 IP | 109 K | 28 BB
Profile: Mid‑90s fastball, slider, curveball; improving command; young arm with upside.
Strengths: Strong vs. right‑handed hitters; induces ground balls; excellent at home.
Weaknesses: Occasional command lapses; Padres’ left‑handed bats (Cronenworth, Merrill) match up well.
Vs. Padres Lineup:
San Diego’s patient approach can elevate Perez’s pitch count.
Must avoid middle‑middle sliders to Tatis Jr. and Machado.
Key Player Matchups
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs. Eu Perez
Tatis crushes right‑handed fastballs (.296 vs RHP FB in 2026).
Perez must rely on his slider/curve to keep Tatis off balance.
Manny Machado (SD) vs. Perez
Machado’s power vs. righties remains strong.
Perez must avoid predictable fastball/slider sequences.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Sears
Chisholm excels vs. lefties when healthy.
Sears’ changeup is key to neutralizing Chisholm’s aggressiveness.
Jake Burger (MIA) vs. Sears
Burger’s power vs. lefties is elite.
Sears must avoid elevated fastballs.
Recent Team Form
San Diego Padres
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Road Record: 23–29
Offense: 4.5 runs/game; inconsistent but explosive
Pitching: 4.18 team ERA; bullpen shaky
Trend: Competitive but streaky; lineup depends heavily on Tatis/Machado.
Miami Marlins
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Home Record: 28–24
Offense: 4.6 runs/game; strong situational hitting
Pitching: 3.94 team ERA; bullpen improving
Trend: Playing confident baseball; lineup producing timely hits.
Series History
2024–2026 Combined: Padres lead 15–13
At loanDepot Park: Marlins lead 8–7
Padres have won three of the last five meetings.
Games tend to be low‑scoring indoors (avg. 7.8 runs/game).
Betting Trends
San Diego Padres
5–5 in last 10 games
4–6 in Sears’ last ten starts
Under has hit in 6 of last 9 Padres games
Miami Marlins
6–4 in last 10 home games
5–2 in Perez’s last seven starts
Over has hit in 5 of last 8 Marlins games
Head‑to‑Head
Padres have won 6 of last 10 meetings
Under has hit in 7 of last 10 matchups
loanDepot Park suppresses home‑run totals
Game Odds
San Diego Padres 8
Miami Marlins – 132
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 24, 2026
