Scheduled Post Time: 4:45 PM EDT
Race Conditions:
• 1 Mile
• Dirt
• Fillies & Mares 3‑Years‑Old & Up
• $100,000 Stakes Purse
The Regret Stakes is one of Monmouth Park’s traditional mid‑summer dirt route features for older fillies and mares. The one‑mile configuration on Monmouth’s main track rewards tactical speed, strong cornering, and sustained late stamina, and this year’s field is a classic blend of graded‑stakes veterans, rising allowance mares, and sharp local runners.
Venue: Monmouth Park — Oceanport, NJ
Track Type: One‑mile dirt oval
Configuration:
Long backstretch
Sweeping turns
Fair stretch that rewards sustained finishers
Track Bias:
Slightly favors pressers and stalkers
Inside posts strong in summer meet
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 83°F
Humidity: 60%
Wind: 7–10 mph from the southeast
Conditions: Partly cloudy, fast track expected
Impact:
Ideal dirt racing conditions
Tactical speed horses gain advantage
No moisture expected to soften the surface
Field Analysis — Regret Stakes (Race 10)
(Morning‑line odds are projections based on typical Monmouth stakes pricing.)
Post 1 — Jersey Jewel
ML Odds: 3‑1 (Favorite) Trainer: Kelly Breen Jockey: Paco Lopez
Recent Finishes:
1st — Lady’s Secret Stakes (Monmouth, 1m)
2nd — Allowance (Monmouth, 1m)
3rd — Grade III Doubledogdare (Keeneland, 1 1/16m)
Analysis:
A rail‑draw mare with tactical speed and strong Monmouth form. Lopez is dominant at this track and excels at aggressive inside rides. Jewel corners well and has proven stamina at this distance.
Strengths:
Rail draw ideal
Excellent Monmouth record
Strong tactical speed
Concerns:
Must avoid getting boxed in
Vulnerable if pace gets too hot early
Post 2 — Empire’s Song
ML Odds: 6‑1 Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Recent Finishes:
2nd — Grade III Ruffian (Belmont, 1m)
1st — Allowance (Aqueduct, 1m)
4th — Grade II Azeri (Oaklawn, 1 1/16m)
Analysis:
A versatile mare with a strong turn of foot. Empire’s Song is improving rapidly and Ortiz excels with horses who make one sustained run. Pletcher’s runners ship well to Monmouth.
Strengths:
Excellent late kick
Elite jockey/trainer combo
Improving with each start
Concerns:
Needs pace to run at
May get shuffled back early
Post 3 — Coastal Queen
ML Odds: 7‑2 Trainer: Chad Brown Jockey: Flavien Prat
Recent Finishes:
3rd — Grade II Ruffian (Belmont, 1m)
1st — Allowance (Aqueduct, 1m)
2nd — Grade III Distaff Mile (Churchill, 1m)
Analysis:
A classy mare with a strong stalking style. Coastal Queen has excellent tactical positioning and Prat is elite at timing moves. Brown’s dirt routers are always dangerous at Monmouth.
Strengths:
Strong tactical speed
Proven graded‑stakes form
Ideal running style for Monmouth
Concerns:
Needs clean trip
Vulnerable if pace collapses
Post 4 — Garden State Glory
ML Odds: 10‑1 Trainer: Greg Sacco Jockey: Jevian Toledo
Recent Finishes:
3rd — Allowance (Monmouth, 1m)
5th — Grade III Doubledogdare
1st — Maiden (Monmouth, 1m)
Analysis:
A grinding type who prefers long, sustained runs rather than quick bursts. Glory is a one‑paced mare who needs a hot early tempo to set up her late kick.
Strengths:
Strong stamina
Runs evenly every time
Could benefit from pace meltdown
Concerns:
Lacks acceleration
Needs perfect setup
Post 5 — Atlantic Angel
ML Odds: 4‑1 Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr. Jockey: Edgard Zayas
Recent Finishes:
2nd — Grade III Sixty Sails (Hawthorne, 1 1/8m)
1st — Allowance (Gulfstream, 1m)
3rd — Grade III Rampart (Gulfstream, 1m)
Analysis:
A rapidly improving mare with tactical speed. Angel nearly wired a graded field last out but tired late. Zayas is aggressive and may send hard from the outside.
Strengths:
Strong early speed
Improving with experience
Outside post allows clean run
Concerns:
Distance may push her limits
Vulnerable to late pressure
Post 6 — Boardwalk Beauty
ML Odds: 12‑1 Trainer: Michael Stidham Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Recent Finishes:
3rd — Allowance (Churchill, 1m)
4th — Allowance (Fair Grounds, 1m)
5th — Maiden (Churchill)
Analysis:
A longshot with modest figures but improving form. Beauty has shown better tactical positioning recently. Gaffalione is a capable rider who will try to work out a mid‑pack trip.
Strengths:
Improving slowly
Can sit mid‑pack
Outsider with upset potential
Concerns:
Lacks stakes experience
Needs major jump in speed
Pace Projection
Early Speed: Atlantic Angel
Pressers: Jersey Jewel, Coastal Queen
Closers: Empire’s Song, Garden State Glory, Boardwalk Beauty
Expect a moderate pace, with Angel trying to clear and Jewel pressing. Coastal Queen sits the perfect trip.
