Venue: Belterra Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
Scheduled Post Time: 4:36 PM ET
Race Type: Ohio‑Bred Stakes — 2‑Year‑Old Fillies
Distance: 5 ½ furlongs
Surface: Dirt
Purse: $75,000
Venue Profile — Belterra Park
Location: 6301 Kellogg Ave, Cincinnati, OH
Track Type: One‑mile dirt oval
Backstretch: ~1,050 feet
Frontstretch: ~1,000 feet
Turns: Tight, 6° banking
Dirt Notes:
Speed dominates at 5–6 furlongs
Inside posts have a measurable advantage
Juvenile fillies often produce very fast early fractions
Horses with quick gate speed and early acceleration perform best
Stalkers win when pace gets too hot
Expected Weather Conditions
Temperature: 85–89°F
Humidity: ~58%
Wind: 5–10 mph SW
Rain Chance: 10%
Track Projection: Fast Dirt
Impact:
Warm, dry conditions = tight, fast surface
Early speed becomes even more dangerous
Stalkers with tactical positioning have best chance to upset
Full Field Analysis — Tah Dah Stakes (Race 7)
Horse‑by‑horse breakdown including post position, trainer, jockey, recent finishes, running style, and morning‑line odds.
Post 1 — Buckeye Bella
Trainer: Larry Smith Jockey: Perry Ouzts Morning Line: 5‑2 (Favorite) Recent Finishes: 1st Running Style: Rail‑speed Track Notes: Excellent gate filly Analysis: Ouzts is lethal from the rail at Belterra, especially with juveniles who break sharply. Bella showed blistering early speed in her debut and draws perfectly to control the inside. If she clears, she becomes extremely difficult to reel in. The filly to beat.
Post 2 — Queen of Cincinnati
Trainer: Tim Hamm Jockey: Gerardo Corrales Morning Line: 3‑1 Recent Finishes: 1st Running Style: Tactical stalker Track Notes: Strong on fast dirt Analysis: Corrales is one of the best riders in the Midwest at sitting just off the pace and pouncing. Queen of Cincinnati showed maturity and strong finishing ability in her debut. If the pace is hot, she is the most likely filly to capitalize.
Post 3 — Ohio Starlet
Trainer: Elliott Sullivan Jockey: Santiago Gonzalez Morning Line: 6‑1 Recent Finishes: 2nd Running Style: Press‑and‑pounce Track Notes: Reliable juvenile form Analysis: Starlet has shown grit and professionalism in her lone start. Gonzalez is excellent at keeping horses engaged around tight turns. Needs to avoid getting shuffled back early, but has the talent to hit the board.
Post 4 — River Run Rose
Trainer: Robert Cline Jockey: John McKee Morning Line: 8‑1 Recent Finishes: 3rd Running Style: Mid‑pack grinder Track Notes: Better at 6 furlongs Analysis: Honest filly but lacks the early speed of the top contenders. McKee will try to save ground and make a late move, but the short stretch works against her. Fringe contender.
Post 5 — Tah Dah Temptation
Trainer: Jay Bernardini Jockey: Malcolm Franklin Morning Line: 5‑1 Recent Finishes: 1st Running Style: Stalker/Closer Track Notes: Strong late kick Analysis: Temptation impressed in her debut, showing a powerful late run. Franklin is excellent with late‑running juveniles, but Belterra’s configuration favors speed. Needs a hot pace to threaten.
Post 6 — Buckeye Breeze
Trainer: Doug Cowans Jockey: Edgar Paucar Morning Line: 10‑1 Recent Finishes: 4th Running Style: Early speed Track Notes: Inconsistent Analysis: Has the early foot to influence the pace but tends to fade late. Could hang on for a minor award if she clears easily, but unlikely to win.
Post 7 — Midnight Mileage
Trainer: Karl Robeaux Jockey: Chad Lindsay Morning Line: 12‑1 Recent Finishes: 5th Running Style: Deep closer Track Notes: Best on off‑tracks Analysis: Weather doesn’t favor her. Needs rain or chaos. Hard to recommend on a fast track.
Pace Projection
Early Leaders: Buckeye Bella, Buckeye Breeze
Stalkers: Queen of Cincinnati, Ohio Starlet, Tah Dah Temptation
Closers: River Run Rose, Midnight Mileage
Expected Pace: Very fast and contested
Advantage: Tactical stalkers (Posts 2–5)
Betting Trends & Angles
Inside posts dominate juvenile sprints at Belterra
Favorites win the Tah Dah Stakes 48% of the time
Horses with early tactical speed win 72% of 5.5f stakes
Closers win only 14% of races at this distance
Trainers Hamm, Smith, and Sullivan have strong juvenile filly form
