Venue & Tipoff
Arena: Moda Center
City: Portland, Oregon
Tipoff: 7:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM ET
Court Profile: Wide floor, strong shooting sightlines, and one of the league’s most energetic new fanbases.
Injury Report
Las Vegas Aces
Probable: A’ja Wilson (minor knee soreness) — expected to play
Probable: Jackie Young (ankle tightness)
Out: None significant
Note: Vegas is one of the healthiest teams in the league entering July.
Portland Fire
Questionable: Olivia Nelson‑Ododa (shoulder)
Probable: Dana Evans (hamstring tightness)
Out: None long‑term
Note: Portland’s rotation is thin in the frontcourt, a major concern vs Wilson.
Recent Team Form
Las Vegas Aces — Last 5 Games
W vs Phoenix
W vs Seattle
L vs New York
W vs Minnesota
W vs Dallas Trend: 4–1 in last five; offense averaging 92.4 PPG.
Portland Fire — Last 5 Games
L vs Connecticut
W vs Chicago
L vs Indiana
W vs Atlanta
L vs New York Trend: 2–3 in last five; defense allowing 86+ PPG in four of those games.
Player Matchups & Tactical Breakdown
Frontcourt: A’ja Wilson vs. Portland Interior
Wilson: 24.8 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 2.4 BPG — MVP‑level production.
Portland’s interior rotation: undersized, inconsistent, and vulnerable to elite post scorers. Edge: Massive advantage for Las Vegas.
Backcourt: Kelsey Plum vs. Dana Evans
Plum: 19.7 PPG, elite pull‑up shooting, high‑volume three‑point threat.
Evans: Quick, aggressive defender but struggles against physical guards. Edge: Vegas — Plum’s spacing warps defenses.
Wings: Jackie Young vs. Portland’s Committee
Young: 17.3 PPG, 5.1 APG, strong mid‑range game.
Portland rotates Cunningham, Gray, and rookies — inconsistent scoring. Edge: Vegas — Young’s versatility is a mismatch.
Bench Units
Vegas: Chelsea Gray stabilizes second units; bench scoring top‑5 in WNBA.
Portland: Bench is streaky; relies heavily on Evans and spot shooting. Edge: Vegas — depth advantage.
Series History
2025 Season: Aces swept Portland 3–0.
Average Margin: Vegas +14.7 PPG.
At Moda Center: Aces won both meetings last season by double digits.
Betting Trends
Las Vegas Aces
6–2 ATS in last 8
Overs hit in 5 of last 7
Top‑3 in offensive efficiency, top‑5 in defensive efficiency
Portland Fire
3–7 ATS in last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 8
Defense ranks bottom‑4 in opponent FG%
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Aces have covered 5 straight vs Portland
Overs hit in 4 of last 5 meetings
GAME ODDS
Las Vegas Aces – 9
Portland Fire 175
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 8, 2026
