First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Weather Report — Camden Yards
From DRatings’ live weather feed for Baltimore:
Temperature: 83°F at 3 PM → 77°F by 6 PM
Humidity: 67% → 78%
Wind: ENE 5–6 mph, blowing from right field, slight Under effect
Conditions: Cloudy → Mostly Cloudy
Impact:
Light winds from right slightly suppress opposite‑field power.
Humidity favors carry on well‑struck balls, but overall environment leans neutral‑to‑pitcher‑friendly.
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
P Jameson Taillon — 15‑day IL
P Daniel Palencia — 15‑day IL
P Phil Maton — 15‑day IL
RF Matt Shaw — 10‑day IL
P Edward Cabrera — 15‑day IL
P Ben Brown — 15‑day IL
P Hoby Milner — 15‑day IL
Baltimore Orioles
P Chris Bassitt — 15‑day IL
P Ryan Helsley — 15‑day IL
Team Records & Statistical Profile
Chicago Cubs (50–40)
Runs/Game: 5.06
Runs Allowed/Game: 4.54
Total Runs/Game: 9.60
Team BA: .244
OBP: .338
Slugging: .409
Home Runs: 112
Doubles: 142
Team ERA: 4.36
WHIP: 1.27
Bullpen Save Rate: 51.6%
Baltimore Orioles (42–49)
Runs/Game: 4.57
Runs Allowed/Game: 4.88
Total Runs/Game: 9.45
Team ERA: 4.9 (approx. from RA/G)
Home Record: 24–23
Starting Pitchers
Cubs — LHP Matthew Boyd
Last appearance: June 30 vs SD — Cubs won 7–9
Veteran left‑hander with swing‑and‑miss slider; inconsistent command historically.
Baltimore has struggled vs lefties in recent series (only 2 games with >4 runs in last 9).
Orioles — RHP Shane Baz
Listed as expected starter.
High‑velocity right‑hander with elite spin; still developing command post‑injury.
Cubs’ lineup ranks 5th in MLB in runs per game (5.1), dangerous vs power pitchers.
Recent Team Form
Cubs — Last 5 Games
W 4–6 vs STL
L 3–0 vs STL
L 17–1 vs STL
W 3–23 vs SD
W 7–9 vs SD Trend: Volatile — blowout loss followed by blowout win; offense explosive but inconsistent.
Orioles — Last 5 Games
L 2–3 at CIN
W 8–5 at CIN
W 3–0 at CIN
W 1–6 vs CHW
L 9–3 vs CHW Trend: Better form than record suggests; pitching stabilizing.
Series History
Cubs lead recent head‑to‑head 8–2
Last meeting (Aug 3, 2025): Cubs 5, Orioles 3
Orioles have scored more than 4 runs in only 2 of their last 9 games
Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs
6 wins in last 8 entering series opener
Offense ranks 5th in MLB
Bullpen unreliable (51.6% save rate)
Baltimore Orioles
4–5 in last 9
At‑bat quality praised despite inconsistent scoring
Home field neutral; weather slightly favors Under
Key Player Matchups
Cubs Lineup vs Shane Baz
Chicago’s top‑5 offense vs a high‑velocity pitcher returning to form.
Cubs’ power (112 HR) matches well vs Baz’s occasional command lapses.
Orioles Lineup vs Matthew Boyd
Orioles have scored >4 runs only twice in last nine games.
Boyd’s left‑handed profile may limit Baltimore’s right‑heavy lineup.
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs – 109
Baltimore Orioles 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, July 6, 2026
