Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, Arizona
First Pitch: 6:40 PM MST (6:40 PM PDT)
Probable Pitchers:
MIL: Brandon Woodruff (RHP)
ARI: Merrill Kelly (RHP)
Venue Breakdown — Chase Field
A retractable‑roof ballpark with hitter‑friendly tendencies when the roof is open, but neutral conditions when closed.
Capacity: ~48,000
Park Factor: Slightly hitter‑leaning with roof open
Impact:
Roof likely closed due to extreme July heat
Neutralizes ball carry
Favors command‑first pitchers like Kelly
Weather Conditions — Phoenix, AZ
The roof will almost certainly be closed.
Outside Conditions:
Temperature: 105–112°F
Humidity: 10–20%
Wind: Light, variable
Impact:
No direct effect on ball flight
Comfortable indoor conditions
Pitchers benefit from controlled environment
Injury Report & Player Availability
Milwaukee Brewers
OUT:
Christian Yelich — back tightness
QUESTIONABLE:
William Contreras — knee soreness (expected to play)
Available:
Willy Adames
Rhys Hoskins
Brice Turang
Jackson Chourio
Arizona Diamondbacks
OUT:
Corbin Carroll — shoulder inflammation
QUESTIONABLE:
Ketel Marte — groin tightness (game‑time decision)
Available:
Christian Walker
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Gabriel Moreno
Jordan Lawlar
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Brandon Woodruff — RHP, Brewers
Record: 8–3
ERA: 3.12
WHIP: 1.09
Profile:
Power fastball/slider combo
Strong strikeout ability (10.1 K/9)
Excellent command
Matchup Impact:
Diamondbacks’ right‑handed core fits Woodruff’s strengths
Must avoid elevated fastballs to Walker
Merrill Kelly — RHP, Diamondbacks
Record: 6–6
ERA: 4.28
WHIP: 1.24
Profile:
Cutter/changeup mix
Strong command
Low walk rate
Matchup Impact:
Brewers’ disciplined lineup can exploit mistakes
Hoskins and Adames pose major threats
Team Records & Statistical Profile
Milwaukee Brewers (54–32)
Road Record: 27–17
Runs/Game: 4.91
Runs Allowed/Game: 4.12
Strengths:
Deep lineup
Elite rotation
Strong bullpen
Weaknesses:
Occasional strikeout spikes
Limited left‑handed power without Yelich
Arizona Diamondbacks (43–44)
Home Record: 22–21
Runs/Game: 4.47
Runs Allowed/Game: 4.71
Strengths:
Strong contact hitters
Good team speed
Kelly’s command
Weaknesses:
Bullpen inconsistency
Limited power without Carroll
Struggles vs. elite pitching
Recent Team Form
Brewers — Last 10 Games
Record: 7–3
Trend: Pitching dominant; offense steady
Key Note: Hoskins slugging .580 over last 10
Diamondbacks — Last 10 Games
Record: 4–6
Trend: Offense inconsistent; bullpen shaky
Key Note: Walker hitting .310 over last 10
Series History
Season Series: Brewers lead 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 6–4
At Chase Field: Brewers have won 4 of last 6
Trend: Milwaukee’s pitching has controlled recent matchups
Betting Trends
Brewers Trends
6–2 in last eight road games
Unders hit in 6 of last 9
Woodruff’s starts: MIL 8–2 in his last 10
Diamondbacks Trends
3–6 in last nine home games
Overs hit in 5 of last 7
Kelly’s starts: ARI 5–5 in his last 10
Matchup Trends
Brewers have scored 4+ runs in 7 of last 10 vs. ARI
Diamondbacks have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of last 10 vs. MIL
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 146
Arizona Diamondbacks 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 3, 2026
