First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Surface: Natural grass
Capacity: ~42,900
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia / SportsNet Pittsburgh / MLB.TV
Weather Outlook — Philadelphia, PA
Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy
Temperature: ~83°F at first pitch
Humidity: ~59%
Wind: 7–12 mph blowing out to right‑center
Impact:
Boost for left‑handed power hitters
Fly balls may carry more than usual
Good hitting conditions overall
Team Records & Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates (43–44)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 21–23
Runs Scored: 335
Runs Allowed: 349
Trend:
Offense inconsistent but showing signs of life
Bullpen has been volatile in late innings
Jones has been a bright spot in the rotation
Pirates hovering around .500 and fighting to stay in NL Wild Card mix
Philadelphia Phillies (49–38)
Last 10: 6–4
Home Record: 27–17
Runs Scored: 362
Runs Allowed: 331
Trend:
Offense heating up, averaging 5.4 runs over last 10
Bullpen remains one of the NL’s most reliable
Rangel has flashed upside but remains inconsistent
Phillies pushing to stay within striking distance of NL East lead
Injury Report (Projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
3B — Questionable (shoulder)
RP — OUT (elbow)
CF — Probable (quad)
Impact: If the third baseman sits, Pittsburgh loses a key middle‑order bat and defensive stability.
Philadelphia Phillies
RF — OUT (hamstring)
SP — IL (forearm)
2B — Probable (ankle)
Impact: Missing the starting right fielder reduces Philadelphia’s power threat, but lineup depth remains strong.
Starting Pitcher Breakdown
Pittsburgh — Jones (RHP)
Record: 7–4
ERA: 3.58
WHIP: 1.19
K/BB: Excellent strikeout‑to‑walk ratio
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam fastball
Slider
Curveball
Changeup
Strengths: Generates swing‑and‑miss; strong command
Concerns: Occasional trouble with long balls in hitter‑friendly parks
Philadelphia — Rangel (RHP)
Record: 5–6
ERA: 4.62
WHIP: 1.33
K/BB: Solid but inconsistent
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam fastball
Sweeper
Splitter
Cutter
Strengths: Sweeper generates whiffs
Concerns: Fastball command can disappear; vulnerable early in games
Key Player Matchups
Pittsburgh Lineup vs. Rangel
Pirates’ left‑handed bats get a boost with wind blowing out
Rangel’s sweeper is effective, but if he falls behind in counts, Pittsburgh’s contact hitters can capitalize
Philadelphia Lineup vs. Jones
Phillies’ power bats match well against Jones’ fastball‑slider combo
Jones must keep the ball down to avoid Citizens Bank Park’s home‑run tendencies
Bullpen Comparison
Pittsburgh: Volatile; struggles in high‑leverage spots
Philadelphia: Strong late‑inning unit with multiple reliable arms
Advantage: Phillies in innings 7–9
Series History
2026 Season Series: First meeting
Last 10 Meetings: Phillies lead 6–4
At Citizens Bank Park: Phillies have won 8 of last 12
Trend:
Phillies typically win high‑scoring games
Pirates’ pitching has struggled historically in Philadelphia
Betting Trends
Pittsburgh
5–5 last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 8
Pirates 3–7 in last 10 road games
Pirates 2–6 in last 8 vs. Philadelphia
Philadelphia
6–4 last 10
Overs hit in 5 of last 7
Phillies 7–3 in last 10 home games
Phillies 5–1 in last 6 vs. Pittsburgh at home
GAME ODDS
Pittsburgh Pirates 10.5
Philadelphia Phillies – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 1, 2026
