First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio
Surface: Natural grass
Capacity: ~34,000
Broadcast: Regional Sports Networks / MLB.TV
Weather Outlook — Cleveland, Ohio
Conditions: Warm, partly cloudy summer evening
Temperature: ~78°F at first pitch
Humidity: ~62%
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to left
Impact:
Slight boost to right‑handed pull hitters
Good hitting conditions overall
Breaking balls may hang if humidity rises late
Team Records & Recent Form
Chicago White Sox (45–40)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 22–21
Runs Scored: 356
Runs Allowed: 341
Trend:
Offense heating up, averaging 5.1 runs over last 10
Bullpen stabilizing after early‑season struggles
Rotation has been inconsistent but improving
Martin has been a reliable mid‑rotation arm
Cleveland Guardians (45–42)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 24–19
Runs Scored: 344
Runs Allowed: 349
Trend:
Offense inconsistent, relying heavily on top‑order production
Bullpen remains a strength
Cecconi has flashed upside but remains volatile
Guardians need a win to avoid slipping further behind in AL Central race
Injury Report (Projected)
Chicago White Sox
SS — Questionable (wrist)
RP — OUT (forearm)
LF — Probable (hamstring)
Impact: If the shortstop sits, Chicago loses defensive stability up the middle.
Cleveland Guardians
CF — OUT (ankle)
SP — IL (shoulder)
1B — Probable (back)
Impact: Missing the starting center fielder hurts Cleveland’s outfield range and lineup depth.
Starting Pitcher Breakdown
Chicago — Martin (RHP)
Record: 6–5
ERA: 3.71
WHIP: 1.22
K/BB: Strong command profile
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam fastball
Slider
Changeup
Occasional cutter
Strengths: Limits hard contact, efficient innings
Concerns: Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters when slider command fades
Cleveland — Cecconi (RHP)
Record: 4–6
ERA: 4.48
WHIP: 1.31
K/BB: Solid strikeout ability
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam fastball
Sweeper
Curveball
Changeup
Strengths: Generates whiffs with breaking stuff
Concerns: Can struggle with fastball command; prone to early‑inning trouble
Key Player Matchups
Chicago Lineup vs. Cecconi
Chicago’s right‑handed power bats match well against Cecconi’s fastball‑sweeper combo.
If Cecconi leaves his sweeper up, Chicago’s middle‑order could do damage.
Cleveland Lineup vs. Martin
Cleveland’s left‑handed hitters (2–4 spots) will be key.
Martin’s changeup is effective, but if he falls behind in counts, Cleveland’s contact‑heavy lineup can string hits together.
Bullpen Comparison
Chicago: Improving but still inconsistent in high‑leverage spots
Cleveland: One of the AL’s best late‑inning units
Advantage: Guardians in innings 7–9
Series History
2026 Season Series: White Sox lead 3–2
Last 10 Meetings: Chicago leads 6–4
At Progressive Field: Cleveland has won 7 of last 12
Trend:
Games often low‑scoring early, opening up late
Bullpen performance frequently decides outcomes
Betting Trends
Chicago
6–4 last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 9
4–1 in last 5 road games
5–2 in last 7 vs. Cleveland
Cleveland
5–5 last 10
Unders hit in 5 of last 8
7–3 in last 10 home games
4–1 in games decided by 1 run
GAME ODDS
Chicago White Sox 8.5
Cleveland Guardians – 112
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 1, 2026
