First Pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET / 4:20 p.m. PT
Venue: Truist Park — Atlanta, Georgia
Surface: Natural grass
Dimensions: Slightly hitter‑friendly to right‑center
Weather Outlook — Atlanta, Georgia
- Conditions: Warm, humid Southeast evening
- Temperature: ~88°F at first pitch
- Humidity: ~66%
- Wind: 7–11 mph blowing out toward right field
- Impact: Boosts carry for left‑handed pull hitters; slightly hitter‑friendly
Probable Pitchers
St. Louis — RHP Michael McGreevy
- Record: 4–6
- ERA: 4.18
- WHIP: 1.31
- Strikeouts: 63
- Profile:
- Fastball/slider mix with improving command
- Braves’ lineup is right‑hand heavy, which is a tough matchup
- Road ERA: 4.41
- Must avoid elevated sliders — Atlanta punishes mistakes
Atlanta — RHP Reynaldo López
- Record: 7–4
- ERA: 3.12
- WHIP: 1.09
- Strikeouts: 98
- Profile:
- Power fastball/slider combination
- Cardinals’ lineup struggles vs. high‑velocity right‑handers
- Home ERA: 2.88
- Generates weak contact; ideal in humid summer conditions
Team Records & Recent Form
St. Louis Cardinals (44–38)
- Road Record: 21–20
- Last 10: 5–5
- Trend:
- Offense averaging 4.4 runs per game over last 10
- Rotation ERA: 4.02 over last 10
- Bullpen stabilizing after early‑season volatility
Atlanta Braves (49–34)
- Home Record: 26–16
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend:
- Offense averaging 5.1 runs per game over last 10
- Pitching staff allowing 3.9 runs per game over last 10
- Bullpen ERA: 3.45 (top‑10 in MLB)
Injury Report
Cardinals
- Paul Goldschmidt — DAY‑TO‑DAY (back)
- Nolan Arenado — OUT (shoulder)
- Sonny Gray — OUT (elbow)
- Ryan Helsley — DAY‑TO‑DAY (forearm)
Impact: Goldschmidt’s status is critical — he’s St. Louis’ best two‑way threat. Arenado’s absence removes a major middle‑order bat.
Braves
- Ronald Acuña Jr. — DAY‑TO‑DAY (knee)
- Spencer Strider — OUT (elbow)
- Sean Murphy — OUT (thumb)
- A.J. Minter — OUT (lat)
Impact: Acuña’s availability determines Atlanta’s offensive ceiling. Murphy’s absence affects pitch‑calling and late‑inning power.
Key Player Matchups
Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs. Michael McGreevy (STL)
If Acuña plays, his elite bat speed challenges McGreevy’s fastball/slider mix. Elevated heaters are a liability.
Matt Olson (ATL) vs. Cardinals Bullpen
Olson has 12 RBI in his last 14 games. St. Louis’ bullpen has been inconsistent in late innings.
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Reynaldo López (ATL)
If active, Goldschmidt’s plate discipline is key. López must keep sliders away from the inner half.
Series History
- 2025 Season Series: Braves won 4–2
- Last 10 Meetings: Braves lead 7–3
- At Truist Park: Braves have won 8 of last 10
- Trend:
- Atlanta dominates the matchup at home
- Cardinals’ pitching has struggled in this ballpark
Betting Trends
Cardinals
- 5–5 last 10
- Overs hit in 6 of last 10
- Cardinals are 3–7 in McGreevy’s last 10 starts
Braves
- 6–4 last 10
- Overs hit in 7 of last 10
- Braves are 9–4 in López’s last 13 starts
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 9
Atlanta Braves – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, June 30, 2026
