First Pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET / 4:20 p.m. PT
Venue: Truist Park — Atlanta, Georgia
Weather Outlook — Truist Park
Conditions: Clear, warm summer night
Temperature: ~86°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out toward left field
Humidity: ~62%
Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly; boosts carry for right‑handed pull hitters
Probable Pitchers
St. Louis — LHP Matthew Liberatore
Record: 4–5
ERA: 4.18
WHIP: 1.33
Strikeouts: 61
Profile:
Curveball‑heavy lefty with improving command
Braves’ lineup has historically crushed left‑handed pitching
Needs to avoid middle‑in fastballs vs. Atlanta’s right‑handed power
Road ERA (4.62) worse than home
Atlanta — RHP Michael Pérez
Record: 6–4
ERA: 3.71
WHIP: 1.24
Strikeouts: 74
Profile:
Strong fastball/slider mix
Cardinals’ lineup is right‑hand heavy, which matches well with his pitch profile
Excellent home splits (3.22 ERA at Truist Park)
Generates weak contact; Cardinals struggle vs. elevated fastballs
Team Records & Recent Form
St. Louis Cardinals (43–38)
Road Record: 20–21
Last 10: 6–4
Trend:
Offense averaging 4.6 runs per game over last 10
Rotation ERA: 4.09 over last 10
Bullpen stabilizing after early‑season volatility
Atlanta Braves (49–33)
Home Record: 27–15
Last 10: 7–3
Trend:
Offense heating up (5.2 runs per game last 10)
Pitching staff allowing just 3.7 runs per game over last 10
Bullpen ERA: 3.48 (top‑10 in MLB)
Injury Report
Cardinals
Nolan Arenado — DAY‑TO‑DAY (back)
Willson Contreras — OUT (forearm)
Steven Matz — OUT (shoulder)
Giovanny Gallegos — OUT (lat)
Impact: Arenado’s status is critical — he anchors the middle of the lineup. Contreras’ absence weakens both offense and pitch framing.
Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. — OUT (knee)
Max Fried — OUT (elbow)
Sean Murphy — DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)
Tyler Matzek — OUT (shoulder)
Impact: Acuña’s absence lowers Atlanta’s ceiling, but the Braves have compensated with strong depth. Fried’s injury affects rotation stability.
Key Player Matchups
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Michael Pérez (ATL)
Goldschmidt has a .297 average vs. right‑handed pitching this season. Pérez’s slider must stay sharp — Goldschmidt punishes hanging breaking balls.
Austin Riley (ATL) vs. Matthew Liberatore (STL)
Riley has a .314 average vs. left‑handers and 5 HR in his last 12 games. Liberatore’s curveball must stay down.
Matt Olson (ATL) vs. Cardinals Bullpen
Olson has 10 RBI in his last 14 games. Cardinals’ bullpen has allowed 13 runs in its last 20 innings.
Series History
2025 Season Series: Braves won 4–2
Last 10 Meetings: Braves lead 6–4
At Truist Park: Braves have won 7 of last 10
Trend:
Atlanta has controlled the matchup at home
St. Louis’ pitching has struggled historically in this park
Betting Trends
Cardinals
6–4 last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 10
Cardinals are 3–7 in last 10 road games vs. ATL
Braves
7–3 last 10
Overs hit in 7 of last 10
Braves are 10–4 in Pérez’s last 14 starts
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 9
Atlanta Braves – 137
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 29, 2026
