First pitch: 6:35 p.m. ET (3:35 p.m. PT for you in East Los Angeles)
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
Weather Outlook — Camden Yards
Conditions: Clear, warm summer evening
Temperature: ~82°F at first pitch
Wind: Light breeze blowing out to left (4–7 mph)
Impact: Slightly favorable for right‑handed pull hitters; neutral overall
Pitching Matchup
Chicago — Erick Fedde (RHP)
Record: 2–6
ERA: 4.34
WHIP: 1.42
Strikeouts: 50
Profile: Fedde has shown a stable floor despite a middling ERA. His command is generally solid, and Chicago’s bullpen behind him has been strong recently (team ERA 4.22, 9th in AL).
Baltimore — Trey Gibson (RHP)
Record: 1–2
ERA: 5.64
WHIP: 1.65
Strikeouts: 25
Profile: Gibson’s walk rate and WHIP are major red flags. He allows traffic, and Baltimore’s bullpen is depleted due to multiple IL stints.
Team Form & Records
Chicago White Sox (44–39)
Road record: 16–25
Last 5: W–L–W–W–L
Last 10: 5–5 (.263 AVG, 2.73 ERA)
Trend: Outscored opponents by 23 runs over last 10 — pitching trending up.
Baltimore Orioles (39–47)
Home record: 23–22
Last 5: L–L–L–W–L
Last 10: 4–6 (.224 AVG, 3.22 ERA)
Trend: Offense cooling; pitching respectable but inconsistent.
Injury Report
Orioles
Key absences include:
Ryan Mountcastle (60‑day IL, foot)
Dean Kremer (60‑day IL, quadriceps)
Felix Bautista (60‑day IL, shoulder)
Chris Bassitt (15‑day IL, back)
Jordan Westburg (60‑day IL, UCL) Baltimore is missing multiple rotation and bullpen arms.
White Sox
Notable injuries:
Munetaka Murakami (10‑day IL, hamstring) — major loss; .938 OPS, 20 HR
Everson Pereira (7‑day IL, concussion)
Drew Thorpe, Ky Bush, Jordan Leasure (all 60‑day IL) Chicago’s pitching depth is thin, but lineup still dangerous.
Key Player Matchups
Colson Montgomery (CHW) vs. Trey Gibson (BAL)
Montgomery’s 20 HR and 47 RBI make him Chicago’s most reliable power threat with Murakami out. Gibson’s WHIP (1.65) suggests Montgomery will see RBI chances.
Taylor Ward (BAL) vs. Erick Fedde (CHW)
Ward’s 18 doubles and solid contact profile match well against Fedde’s pitch‑to‑contact tendencies.
Pete Alonso (BAL) vs. Chicago Bullpen
Alonso is heating up (9-for‑35, 3 HR last 10). If Fedde exits early, Alonso becomes Baltimore’s best chance to break open innings.
Series History
Season series: Orioles lead 3–1
Recent trend: Baltimore has handled Chicago well at Camden Yards, but Chicago won Monday’s opener in a blowout (8 runs).
Betting Trends
Chicago: Strong pitching form; lineup inconsistent without Murakami
Baltimore: Three‑game losing streak; offense slumping
Park Factor: 1.01 — neutral to slightly hitter‑friendly
GAME ODDS
Chicago White Sox 10.5
Baltimore Orioles – 142
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 29, 2026
