Venue: NRG Stadium — Houston, Texas
Kickoff: 7:00 PM CT / 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT
Venue Profile — NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
Capacity: ~72,000
Surface: Natural grass overlay
Type: Indoor retractable‑roof stadium
Impact:
Climate‑controlled conditions eliminate heat concerns
Fast pitch favors high‑tempo, possession‑dominant teams
Excellent environment for Germany’s structured buildup play
Weather Forecast — Houston, TX
(Roof expected closed due to extreme summer heat)
Outside Temperature: 94–98°F
Humidity: 60–70%
Wind: 8–12 mph
Impact:
Indoor conditions neutralize weather
No meaningful effect on pace or ball movement
Paraguay avoids the fatigue normally caused by Houston’s humidity
Injury Report
Germany
Jamal Musiala — ACTIVE
Florian Wirtz — ACTIVE
Kai Havertz — ACTIVE
Antonio Rüdiger — DAY‑TO‑DAY (minor groin tightness)
Joshua Kimmich — ACTIVE
Manuel Neuer — ACTIVE
Paraguay
Miguel Almirón — ACTIVE
Julio Enciso — ACTIVE
Gustavo Gómez — ACTIVE
Matías Rojas — DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle soreness)
Carlos Coronel — ACTIVE
Team Records & Recent Form
Germany
Record entering June 29: 2–0–0
Goals: 6 scored, 2 conceded
Form:
Musiala & Wirtz driving the attack
Midfield balance strong with Kimmich & Gündogan
Defense occasionally shaky but improving
Germany looks like a top‑tier contender
Paraguay
Record entering June 29: 1–0–1
Goals: 2 scored, 2 conceded
Form:
Compact defensive structure
Dangerous in transition through Almirón & Enciso
Struggles when forced to chase possession
Paraguay is competitive but inconsistent
Series History
All‑time meetings: Germany leads 4–0–1
Last competitive meeting: Germany 5–2 Paraguay (2014 friendly cycle)
Key Trend:
Paraguay often starts well but fades late
Germany’s technical superiority usually decisive
Paraguay has never beaten Germany in a competitive match
Tactical & Player Matchups
Germany Attack vs Paraguay Defense
Musiala vs Gustavo Gómez:
Musiala’s dribbling vs Paraguay’s physical captain
Edge: Germany
Wirtz vs Cubas:
Wirtz’s creativity vs Cubas’ ball‑winning
Edge: Germany
Havertz vs Balbuena:
Havertz’s movement between lines is difficult for Paraguay’s rigid shape
Edge: Germany
Paraguay Attack vs Germany Defense
Almirón vs Rüdiger:
Almirón’s pace vs Germany’s most athletic defender
Edge: Even
Enciso vs Tah:
Enciso’s explosiveness can trouble Germany
Edge: Paraguay (slight)
Rojas vs Kimmich:
Rojas’ creativity vs Kimmich’s positional discipline
Edge: Germany
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Germany | Paraguay | Edge |
| Possession | 63% | 41% | Germany |
| Goals per match | 3.0 | 1.0 | Germany |
| Shots per match | 16.4 | 9.2 | Germany |
| Goals conceded | 2 | 2 | Even |
| Pressing efficiency | 61% | 54% | Germany |
| Counterattack goals | 1 | 2 | Paraguay |
Germany dominates in possession and chance creation; Paraguay excels in transitions.
Betting Trends
Germany has scored 2+ goals in 8 of last 10 competitive matches
Paraguay has scored in 7 of last 10 matches vs top‑20 opponents
Germany has never lost to Paraguay
Paraguay has conceded 4+ goals in 2 of last 5 matches vs elite teams
Over 2.5 goals has hit in 6 of last 8 Germany matches
MATCH ODDS
Germany – 295
Paraguay + 850
Draw + 450
Over 2.5 – 140 Under 2.5 + 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 28, 2026
