Venue Information
Fenway Park
Address: 4 Yawkey Way, Boston, MA 02215
Capacity: ~37,700
Park Factor: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for right‑handed pull hitters due to the Green Monster
Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
Environmental Impact: Warm, humid nights often boost carry to left field
Weather Forecast (Boston, MA)
Expect classic late‑June New England conditions:
Temperature: 83–87°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing toward left field
Humidity: ~60%
Precipitation: <10% — dry evening
Impact: Boost for fly‑ball hitters, especially right‑handed bats aiming for the Monster
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox (36–46)
Triston Casas — 10‑Day IL (rib)
Trevor Story — 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Kenley Jansen — 15‑Day IL (hamstring)
Garrett Whitlock — 60‑Day IL (UCL recovery)
Tyler O’Neill — Day‑to‑day (knee soreness)
Chris Martin — 15‑Day IL (elbow)
Washington Nationals (43–42)
Josiah Gray — 15‑Day IL (forearm)
MacKenzie Gore — Day‑to‑day (blister)
Joey Meneses — 10‑Day IL (ankle)
Cade Cavalli — 60‑Day IL (UCL recovery)
Hunter Harvey — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
Team Records & Recent Form
Boston Red Sox (36–46)
Home Record: 20–22 (inferred from typical splits)
Last 5 Games: W–W–W–W–L
Trend: Four straight wins before a narrow loss; offense heating up
Strengths: Contact hitting, improved bullpen performance during recent streak
Weaknesses: Rotation instability, inconsistent run prevention
Washington Nationals (43–42)
Road Record: 21–22 (inferred)
Last 5 Games: W–W–L–L–L
Trend: Two wins followed by three straight losses; pitching regression
Strengths: Solid rotation depth, improving young hitters
Weaknesses: Bullpen volatility, streaky offense
Starting Pitching Matchup
BOS — Ranger Suárez (LHP)
Profile: Ground‑ball specialist with elite changeup
2026 Form (projected):
ERA: 3.60–3.90
WHIP: ~1.20
K/BB: Strong
Strengths: Induces weak contact; excellent vs right‑handed hitters
Risks: Occasional command lapses; vulnerable if changeup isn’t sharp
WSH — Miles Mikolas (RHP)
Profile: Veteran command‑first righty with sinker/slider mix
2026 Form (projected):
ERA: 4.20–4.50
WHIP: ~1.30
K/BB: Average
Strengths: Efficient innings‑eater; good vs aggressive lineups
Risks: Hard contact allowed; Fenway’s dimensions not ideal for his profile
Pitching Edge: Red Sox (Suárez) — better command, better matchup vs Nats’ right‑heavy lineup, and favorable park fit.
Key Player Matchups
Red Sox Hitters vs Mikolas
Rafael Devers: Elite vs RHP; Monster‑friendly power
Masataka Yoshida: High contact rate; excels vs sinker/slider arms
Tyler O’Neill (if active): Pull power plays well in warm weather
Nationals Hitters vs Suárez
CJ Abrams: Speed threat; can disrupt Suárez’s rhythm
Lane Thomas: Strong vs LHP; key middle‑order bat
Nick Senzel: Good contact profile; potential multi‑hit candidate
Series History
Interleague matchup with limited recent history.
Nationals have struggled historically at Fenway due to park dimensions and bullpen mismatches.
Red Sox typically perform well at home vs command‑first right‑handers.
Betting Trends
Red Sox: 4–1 in last five — offense surging
Nationals: 2–3 in last five — pitching regression
Fenway overs often hit in warm weather with wind toward left
Game Odds
Washington Nationals 8.5
Boston Red Sox – 164
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 28, 2026
