Venue, Date & Time
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, 333 West Camden Street, Baltimore, MD
First pitch: 6:35 PM ET (3:35 PM PT)
Park Factor: 1.01 — essentially neutral for run scoring
Weather Outlook
Forecast conditions are favorable for offense:
Temperature: ~85°F
Wind: Light, minimal impact
Precipitation: None expected These warm, dry conditions typically enhance ball carry at Camden Yards.
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
Ryan Mountcastle — 60‑Day IL (foot)
Dean Kremer — 60‑Day IL (quadricep)
Yaramil Hiraldo — 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Chris Bassitt — 15‑Day IL (back)
Zach Eflin — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Felix Bautista — 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Colin Selby — 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Jordan Westburg — 60‑Day IL (UCL)
Chicago White Sox
Everson Pereira — 7‑Day IL (concussion)
Tyler Gilbert — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
Noah Schultz — 15‑Day IL (knee)
Austin Hays — 60‑Day IL (calf)
Munetaka Murakami — 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
Jordan Leasure — 60‑Day IL (flexor)
Ky Bush — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Drew Thorpe — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Tanner Murray — 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Brooks Baldwin — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Mike Vasil — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Prelander Berroa — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Team Records & Recent Form
Chicago White Sox (43–39)
Road record: 15–25
Last 10 games: 5–5, .254 AVG, 2.63 ERA, +21 run differential
Season run differential: +18 (inferred from analysis)
Recent highlight: 22–1 win over Kansas City; 33 runs in last five games
Baltimore Orioles (39–46)
Home record: 23–21
Last 10 games: 4–6, .221 AVG, 2.95 ERA, +7 run differential
Season run differential: –26 (inferred from analysis)
Recent trend: Lost four of last five; offense missing key bats
Pitching Matchup
CHW — Sean Burke (5–4, 3.71 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 87 K)
Strong WAR advantage (2.01 vs Baz’s 0.59)
Opponents hitting just .229 against him (career)
Nearly 9 K/9, dependable command profile
BAL — Shane Baz (4–8, 4.31 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 81 K)
Fastball velocity: 96.1 mph
But poor underlying results: .358 xwOBA, 13.1% whiff rate on four‑seamer
WHIP and contact profile suggest volatility
Pitching Edge: Clear advantage to Burke based on WAR, command, and run prevention metrics.
Key Player Matchups
White Sox Hitters vs Baz
Chicago has several hitters with positive small‑sample results:
Miguel Vargas: HR + 2 RBI vs Baz (1-for-2)
Chase Meidroth, Kyle Teel, Andrew Benintendi, Colson Montgomery: all have recorded hits in limited matchups
Orioles Offensive Leaders
Taylor Ward: .256 AVG, 18 doubles, 5 HR
Pete Alonso: 9-for-35, 3 HR, 10 RBI last 10 games
Series History
This is the fourth meeting between the teams this season.
Orioles are 18–6 when they do not allow a home run — a key indicator given Chicago’s 115 HR on the season.
Betting Trends
White Sox have covered 4 of their last 5 spreads.
Orioles have dropped 4 of their last 5 games.
Market may be overpricing Baltimore due to home‑field inertia despite negative run differential.
GAME ODDS
Chicago White Sox 9
Baltimore Orioles – 130
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 28, 2026
