Venue: Citi Field – Queens, New York
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET / 10:40 AM PT
Probable Pitchers: PHI – LHP Jesús Luzardo vs. NYM – RHP Christian Pérez
Venue Profile – Citi Field
Type: Outdoor
Dimensions:
LF: 335 ft
CF: 408 ft
RF: 330 ft
Park Factors:
Suppresses home runs
Boosts doubles and triples
Favors pitchers with strong command
Impact:
Left‑handed power is slightly muted
Outfield defense matters due to large gaps
Weather Forecast – Queens, NY
Temperature: 82–85°F
Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to right‑center
Humidity: 55–60%
Conditions: Mostly sunny
Impact:
Slight boost to right‑center power
Warm air helps carry fly balls
Still a pitcher‑leaning environment overall
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper – ACTIVE
Trea Turner – ACTIVE
Kyle Schwarber – ACTIVE
J.T. Realmuto – DAY‑TO‑DAY (knee soreness)
Taijuan Walker – OUT (shoulder)
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor – ACTIVE
Pete Alonso – ACTIVE
Brandon Nimmo – ACTIVE
Kodai Senga – OUT (elbow)
Starling Marte – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)
Team Records & Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies (46–37)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 22–20
Runs Scored: 4.8 per game
Runs Allowed: 4.2 per game
Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense streaky but dangerous
New York Mets (35–48)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 17–25
Runs Scored: 4.1 per game
Runs Allowed: 4.9 per game
Trend: Rotation thin; bullpen unreliable; offense inconsistent
Series History
Season Series: Phillies lead 5–2
Last 10 Meetings: Phillies lead 7–3
At Citi Field (last 3 seasons): Phillies 10–8
Key Trend:
Phillies’ left‑handed bats have consistently punished Mets pitching
Mets struggle vs. high‑velocity lefties
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
PHI – LHP Jesús Luzardo
Record: 6–4
ERA: 3.71
WHIP: 1.22
K/9: 10.1
Recent Starts:
6.1 IP, 2 ER vs. ATL
7.0 IP, 1 ER vs. MIA
5.0 IP, 4 ER vs. STL
Scouting Notes:
Electric fastball/slider combo
Generates elite swing‑and‑miss
Vulnerable to right‑handed power when he misses arm‑side
Matchup Outlook: Mets’ right‑handed core (Alonso, Lindor) must carry the load; Luzardo dominates lefties.
NYM – RHP Christian Pérez
Record: 2–5
ERA: 4.89
WHIP: 1.41
K/9: 7.8
Recent Starts:
5.0 IP, 3 ER vs. WSH
4.2 IP, 5 ER vs. MIL
6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. PIT
Scouting Notes:
Sinker/slider profile
Struggles vs. left‑handed power
Command inconsistent; high walk rate
Matchup Outlook: Schwarber and Harper are nightmare matchups for Pérez.
Key Player Matchups
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Christian Pérez
Edge: Phillies Harper crushes sinkers and sliders from righties.
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Luzardo
Edge: Even Alonso hits lefties well, but Luzardo’s slider is a tough matchup.
Trea Turner (PHI) vs. Citi Field
Edge: Phillies Turner’s speed and line‑drive profile play well in large outfield gaps.
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Luzardo
Edge: Phillies Lindor struggles vs. high‑velocity left‑handed pitching.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Phillies | Mets | Edge |
| OPS | .764 | .723 | Phillies |
| HR | 109 | 92 | Phillies |
| Team ERA | 3.92 | 4.58 | Phillies |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.71 | 4.66 | Phillies |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +14 | -6 | Phillies |
Philadelphia holds advantages across the board.
Betting Trends
Phillies are 8–3 in Luzardo’s last 11 starts
Mets are 3–9 in their last 12 home games
Phillies overs have hit in 5 of last 8
Mets have allowed 5+ runs in 9 of last 12
Phillies are 7–3 in last 10 vs. NYM
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies – 141
New York Mets 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 27, 2026
