Venue: Fenway Park – Boston, Massachusetts
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
Probable Pitchers: NYY – LHP Carlos Rodón vs. BOS – RHP Sonny Gray
Venue Profile – Fenway Park
- Location: Boston, MA
- Type: Outdoor
- Dimensions:
- LF: 310 ft (Green Monster)
- CF: 390 ft
- RF: 302 ft (Pesky Pole)
- Park Factors:
- Boosts doubles and opposite‑field power
- Left‑handed hitters benefit from short RF
- Right‑handed hitters with lift can pepper the Monster
Weather Forecast – Boston, MA
- Temperature: 78–81°F
- Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to left
- Humidity: 55–65%
- Conditions: Clear evening
- Impact:
- Slight boost to right‑handed power hitters
- Warm, dry air helps carry fly balls
- Pitchers who induce ground balls benefit most
Injury Report
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge – ACTIVE
- Juan Soto – ACTIVE
- Anthony Rizzo – OUT (back)
- Gleyber Torres – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)
- Clarke Schmidt – OUT (elbow)
Boston Red Sox
- Triston Casas – ACTIVE
- Rafael Devers – ACTIVE
- Trevor Story – OUT (shoulder)
- Nick Pivetta – OUT (lat)
- Masataka Yoshida – DAY‑TO‑DAY (wrist)
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Yankees (48–34)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 23–18
- Runs Scored: 4.9 per game
- Runs Allowed: 4.1 per game
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but dangerous
Boston Red Sox (35–46)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 17–23
- Runs Scored: 4.3 per game
- Runs Allowed: 4.8 per game
- Trend: Rotation struggling; offense streaky; bullpen overworked
Series History
- Season Series: Yankees lead 4–2
- Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 7–3
- At Fenway (last 3 seasons): Yankees 11–7
- Key Trend:
- Yankees’ left‑handed power has consistently punished Boston’s right‑handed pitching
- Boston struggles vs. high‑velocity lefties
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
NYY – LHP Carlos Rodón
- Record: 7–4
- ERA: 3.62
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/9: 10.4
- Recent Starts:
- 6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. BAL
- 7.1 IP, 1 ER vs. KC
- 5.0 IP, 4 ER vs. TOR
- Scouting Notes:
- Fastball 95–97 with late ride
- Slider sharp vs. lefties and righties
- Fenway can be tricky for him when he leaves pitches up
Matchup Outlook: Boston’s left‑handed bats (Devers, Yoshida if active) have struggled vs. high‑spin lefties. Rodón’s biggest threat is Boston’s right‑handed pull hitters using the Monster.
BOS – RHP Sonny Gray
- Record: 5–6
- ERA: 4.21
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/9: 9.1
- Recent Starts:
- 5.2 IP, 3 ER vs. TB
- 6.0 IP, 1 ER vs. DET
- 4.1 IP, 5 ER vs. NYY
- Scouting Notes:
- Cutter/curveball mix effective when command is sharp
- Struggles vs. elite left‑handed hitters
- Yankees have historically hit him well
Matchup Outlook: Soto and Judge profile extremely well vs. Gray’s pitch mix. Gray must keep the ball down or risk damage to both gaps.
Key Player Matchups
Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Sonny Gray
Edge: Yankees Soto crushes cutters and curves from righties. Fenway’s RF is tailor‑made for his swing.
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Carlos Rodón
Edge: Even Devers hits lefties better than most, but Rodón’s slider is a tough matchup.
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Fenway Park
Edge: Yankees Judge’s opposite‑field power plays perfectly off the Monster.
Triston Casas (BOS) vs. Rodón
Edge: Yankees Casas struggles vs. high‑velocity lefties; Rodón fits that profile.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Yankees | Red Sox | Edge |
| OPS | .768 | .721 | Yankees |
| HR | 114 | 89 | Yankees |
| Team ERA | 3.87 | 4.52 | Yankees |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.61 | 4.44 | Yankees |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +18 | -7 | Yankees |
New York holds advantages across nearly every category.
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 8–3 in Rodón’s last 11 starts
- Red Sox are 3–7 in Gray’s last 10 starts
- Yankees overs have hit in 6 of last 9
- Red Sox have allowed 5+ runs in 7 of last 10
- Yankees are 11–4 in last 15 vs. BOS
GAME ODDS
New York Yankees 8
Boston Red Sox – 113
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 27, 2026
