Probable Pitchers: RHP Michael Lorenzen (COL) vs. RHP Luis Paredes (MIN)
Location: Target Field – Minneapolis, Minnesota
First Pitch: 6:10 PM CT / 7:10 PM ET
Broadcast: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain / Bally Sports North / MLB.TV
Venue Profile – Target Field
Type: Outdoor
Capacity: ~38,500
Dimensions:
LF: 339 ft
CF: 403 ft
RF: 328 ft
Ballpark Factors:
Slightly pitcher‑friendly
Suppresses HRs to center
Boosts doubles in the gaps
Impact:
Good for command‑first pitchers
Rockies’ fly‑ball hitters may struggle
Weather Forecast – Minneapolis, MN
Temperature: 78–82°F
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to right
Humidity: Moderate
Conditions: Clear, warm
Impact:
Slight boost to left‑handed power
Otherwise neutral hitting environment
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
Kris Bryant – OUT (back)
Ezequiel Tovar – ACTIVE
Nolan Jones – ACTIVE
Charlie Blackmon – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hip)
Kyle Freeland – OUT (shoulder)
Minnesota Twins
Carlos Correa – ACTIVE
Royce Lewis – ACTIVE
Byron Buxton – DAY‑TO‑DAY (knee)
Joe Ryan – OUT (forearm)
Jhoan Duran – OUT (lat strain)
Probable Pitchers
Colorado – RHP Michael Lorenzen
2026 Season: 3–7, 4.89 ERA, 1.37 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 5.12 ERA
Strengths:
Veteran command
Good changeup vs. lefties
Keeps ball in the park outside Coors
Concerns:
Struggles with deep lineups
Twins’ right‑handed bats (Lewis, Correa) match up well
High WHIP leads to traffic
Minnesota – RHP Luis Paredes
2026 Season: 4–4, 3.91 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.44 ERA
Strengths:
Strong strikeout ability
Excellent slider
Good home splits (3.32 ERA at Target Field)
Concerns:
Can be homer‑prone vs. lefties
Rockies’ lineup has several left‑handed bats who hit sliders well
Team Records & Recent Form
Colorado Rockies (32–50)
Last 10: 3–7
Road Record: 12–29
Run Differential: -89
Trend: Pitching struggling; offense inconsistent; bullpen unreliable
Minnesota Twins (39–44)
Last 10: 6–4
Home Record: 22–19
Run Differential: -12
Trend: Offense improving; rotation stabilizing; bullpen shaky without Duran
Series History
2025 Season Series: Twins won 3–0
2026 Season Series: Twins lead 1–0 (won 7–4 on June 26)
At Target Field (last 10): Twins lead 7–3
Key Trend: Minnesota consistently out‑hits Colorado at home
Key Player Matchups
Royce Lewis (MIN) vs. Michael Lorenzen
Edge: Minnesota
Lewis crushes fastballs and thrives vs. command‑first pitchers. Lorenzen’s pitch mix plays directly into his strengths.
Nolan Jones (COL) vs. Luis Paredes
Edge: Colorado (slightly)
Jones hits sliders well and has been Colorado’s most consistent power threat. If he wins this matchup, Rockies can keep it close.
Carlos Correa (MIN) vs. Rockies’ Bullpen
Edge: Minnesota
Colorado’s bullpen has been one of MLB’s weakest. Correa excels in late‑inning leverage spots.
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) vs. Target Field Dimensions
Edge: Minnesota
Tovar’s power is limited in large outfields; Twins’ defense can neutralize him.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Rockies | Twins | Edge |
| Runs/Game | 4.18 | 4.47 | Twins |
| Team ERA | 4.92 | 4.21 | Twins |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.78 | 4.33 | Twins |
| HR | 74 | 98 | Twins |
| OPS | .699 | .731 | Twins |
| Defensive Runs Saved | -3 | +9 | Twins |
Minnesota holds clear advantages across nearly every category.
Betting Trends
Twins are 8–3 in their last 11 home games
Rockies are 4–12 in their last 16 road games
Rockies overs have hit in 6 of last 9
Twins overs have hit in 5 of last 7
Lorenzen has a 5.12 ERA in his last 5 starts
GAME ODDS
Colorado Rockies 9.5
Minnesota Twins 137
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026
