MLB Game Preview: Washington Nationals (41-42) vs. Baltimore Orioles (39-44)

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Baltimore Orioles logo

Probable Pitchers: RHP Jackson Griffin (WSH) vs. RHP Cade Young (BAL)

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards – Baltimore, Maryland

First Pitch: 4:05 PM ET

Broadcast: MASN / MASN2 / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Camden Yards

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~45,000

Dimensions:

LF: 384 ft (deepened after 2022 renovation)

CF: 410 ft

RF: 318 ft

Ballpark Factors:

Suppresses right‑handed HRs to left field

Boosts left‑handed pull power

Excellent hitters’ backdrop

Impact:

Favors Washington’s left‑handed bats (Garcia, Winker)

Makes life easier for pitchers who keep the ball away from RF

Weather Forecast – Baltimore, MD

Temperature: 83–86°F

Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to right‑center

Humidity: High

Conditions: Mostly sunny

Impact:

Boost to left‑handed power

Warm, humid air helps carry fly balls

Slightly hitter‑friendly environment

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

CJ Abrams – ACTIVE

Lane Thomas – ACTIVE

Joey Meneses – DAY‑TO‑DAY (back tightness)

Josiah Gray – OUT (elbow)

MacKenzie Gore – OUT (shoulder)

Baltimore Orioles

Gunnar Henderson – ACTIVE

Adley Rutschman – ACTIVE

Colton Cowser – DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)

Kyle Bradish – OUT (UCL surgery)

John Means – OUT (forearm)

Probable Pitchers

Washington – RHP Jackson Griffin

2026 Season: 4–4, 4.01 ERA, 1.27 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 2–2, 3.66 ERA

Strengths:

Good fastball/slider combo

Generates weak contact

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Concerns:

Can struggle with command early

Orioles’ left‑handed bats (Henderson, O’Hearn) match up well

Baltimore – RHP Cade Young

2026 Season: 3–6, 4.44 ERA, 1.33 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 4.91 ERA

Strengths:

Good curveball

Keeps ball in the park at Camden Yards

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Concerns:

Struggles vs. left‑handed power

Nationals’ lineup has several lefties who hit breaking balls well

Team Records & Recent Form

Washington Nationals (41–42)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 20–22

Run Differential: -12

Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense improving behind Abrams and Thomas

Baltimore Orioles (39–44)

Last 10: 4–6

Home Record: 19–22

Run Differential: -28

Trend: Inconsistent offense; rotation thin; bullpen overworked

Series History

2025 Season Series: Nationals won 3–1

2026 Season Series: Nationals lead 1–0 (won 6–4 on June 26)

At Camden Yards (last 12): Nationals lead 7–5

Key Trend: Washington’s speed and left‑handed bats consistently trouble Baltimore’s pitching

Key Player Matchups

CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Cade Young

Edge: Washington

Abrams thrives vs. curveball‑heavy pitchers and is hitting over .300 vs. right‑handers. Young’s command issues give Abrams opportunities on the bases.

Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Jackson Griffin

Edge: Baltimore

Henderson crushes right‑handed pitching and benefits from wind blowing out to right‑center.

Lane Thomas (WSH) vs. Orioles’ Bullpen

Edge: Washington

Baltimore’s bullpen is depleted and has struggled in June. Thomas excels in late‑inning leverage spots.

Adley Rutschman (BAL) vs. Nationals’ Pitching Staff

Edge: Baltimore

Rutschman’s plate discipline is a major advantage against a Nationals staff that can lose the zone.

Statistical Comparison

CategoryNationalsOriolesEdge
Runs/Game4.384.22Nationals
Team ERA4.194.47Nationals
Bullpen ERA4.114.39Nationals
HR8290Orioles
OPS.721.718Even
Defensive Runs Saved+9+3Nationals

Washington holds slight advantages across most categories.

Betting Trends

Nationals are 7–3 in their last 10 vs. Baltimore

Orioles are 3–7 in their last 10 home games

Nationals overs have hit in 6 of last 9

Orioles overs have hit in 5 of last 7

Griffin has a 3.66 ERA in his last 5 starts

Game Odds

Washington Nationals                   9

Baltimore Orioles                            – 110

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

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