Probable Pitchers: RHP Wilmer Rangel (PHI) vs. RHP Christian Scott (NYM)
Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia / SNY / MLB.TV
Venue Profile – Citi Field
Type: Outdoor
Capacity: ~41,800
Dimensions:
LF: 335 ft
CF: 408 ft
RF: 330 ft
Ballpark Factors:
Slightly pitcher‑friendly
Suppresses home runs to center
Boosts doubles in the gaps
Weather Forecast – Queens, NY
Temperature: 82–85°F
Wind: 9–12 mph blowing out to right‑center
Humidity: Moderate
Conditions: Mostly sunny
Impact:
Slight boost to left‑handed power hitters
Warm air helps carry fly balls
Good hitting environment overall
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper – ACTIVE
Trea Turner – ACTIVE
Kyle Schwarber – ACTIVE
J.T. Realmuto – DAY‑TO‑DAY (knee soreness)
Ranger Suárez – OUT (forearm)
New York Mets
Pete Alonso – ACTIVE
Francisco Lindor – ACTIVE
Brandon Nimmo – DAY‑TO‑DAY (quad tightness)
Kodai Senga – OUT (shoulder)
Edwin Díaz – OUT (lat strain)
Probable Pitchers
Philadelphia – RHP Wilmer Rangel
2026 Season: 3–2, 3.94 ERA, 1.28 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 2–1, 3.60 ERA
Strengths:
Good fastball/changeup combo
Keeps ball in the park
Strong vs. right‑handed hitters
Concerns:
Can struggle with command early
Mets’ left‑handed bats (McNeil, Nimmo if active) match up well
New York – RHP Christian Scott
2026 Season: 4–7, 4.21 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 4.44 ERA
Strengths:
High‑spin fastball
Good strikeout ability
Strong at home (3.68 ERA at Citi Field)
Concerns:
Vulnerable to power hitters
Phillies’ lineup is loaded with left‑handed thump
Team Records & Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies (46–36)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 22–19
Run Differential: +47
Trend: Offense heating up; pitching stabilizing after mid‑June slump
New York Mets (34–48)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 17–25
Run Differential: -58
Trend: Inconsistent offense; bullpen struggling without Díaz
Series History
2025 Season Series: Phillies won 11–8
2026 Season Series: Phillies lead 2–1
At Citi Field (last 20): Phillies lead 12–8
Key Trend: Phillies’ left‑handed power has consistently punished Mets pitching
Key Player Matchups
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Christian Scott
Edge: Philadelphia
Harper crushes high‑spin fastballs and has a .310+ career average at Citi Field. Scott’s pitch profile plays directly into Harper’s strengths.
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs. Citi Field Wind
Edge: Philadelphia
Wind blowing out to right‑center is a dream scenario for Schwarber. He has 6 HR in his last 10 games vs. the Mets.
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Wilmer Rangel
Edge: Even
Alonso can punish mistakes, but Rangel’s changeup neutralizes right‑handed power. If Alonso doesn’t homer, Mets’ run production suffers.
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Phillies’ Infield Defense
Edge: Mets
Lindor’s switch‑hitting and line‑drive approach play well against Philly’s average infield range.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Phillies | Mets | Edge |
| Runs/Game | 4.89 | 4.12 | Phillies |
| Team ERA | 3.88 | 4.63 | Phillies |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.72 | 4.81 | Phillies |
| HR | 109 | 85 | Phillies |
| OPS | .756 | .708 | Phillies |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +14 | -9 | Phillies |
Philadelphia dominates nearly every category.
Betting Trends
Phillies are 7–3 in their last 10 road games
Mets are 2–8 in their last 10 home games
Phillies overs have hit in 5 of last 7
Mets unders have hit in 4 of last 6
Phillies are 12–5 in their last 17 games vs. the Mets
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies 9
New York Mets – 128
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026
