Citi Field, Queens, NY
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia / SNY / MLB.tv
Probable Pitchers:
- PHI — RHP Zack Wheeler (8–3, 3.12 ERA)
- NYM — TBD (expected bullpen game or spot starter)
Venue Information — Citi Field
- Location: Queens, New York
- Capacity: ~41,800
- Dimensions: LF 335 ft, CF 408 ft, RF 330 ft
- Ballpark Tendencies:
- Slightly pitcher‑friendly
- Suppresses home runs to center
- Boosts doubles due to deep alleys
Weather Forecast (Queens, NY)
- Temperature: 79°F at first pitch
- Wind: 6 mph blowing out to right
- Humidity: 61%
- Conditions: Clear, ideal summer baseball weather Impact: Slight boost to left‑handed power hitters.
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
- Bryce Harper — ACTIVE (rest day Thursday)
- Trea Turner — OUT (hamstring strain, 10‑day IL)
- J.T. Realmuto — OUT (meniscus surgery)
- Ranger Suárez — DAY‑TO‑DAY (blister)
- Seranthony Domínguez — OUT (shoulder inflammation)
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor — ACTIVE (returned from calf tightness)
- Pete Alonso — OUT (wrist fracture, 10‑day IL)
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder rehab)
- Brooks Raley — OUT (UCL sprain)
- Jeff McNeil — DAY‑TO‑DAY (back tightness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies (45–36)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 22–19
- Run Differential: +47
- Trend: Pitching staff stabilizing; offense inconsistent without Turner/Realmuto.
New York Mets (34–47)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Home Record: 17–24
- Run Differential: –62
- Trend: Bullpen overworked; offense struggling without Alonso.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Zack Wheeler — RHP, Phillies
2026 Stats: 8–3, 3.12 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 102 K in 98 IP
Strengths
- Elite fastball/slider combo
- Excellent command
- Dominant vs. right‑handed hitters
- Strong track record vs. Mets
Weaknesses
- Occasionally gives up early HRs
- Mets’ lefties (Nimmo, Vientos) can challenge him if he misses arm‑side
Matchup vs. Mets
- Mets rank bottom‑5 vs. high‑velocity fastballs
- Wheeler has a career 2.71 ERA at Citi Field
- Excellent matchup on paper
Mets — TBD (Bullpen Game Likely)
Expected Options:
- Reed Garrett (RHP) — opener candidate
- Joey Lucchesi (LHP) — bulk innings
- Christian Scott (RHP) — possible spot start
Strengths
- Garrett’s slider can miss bats
- Lucchesi’s “churve” effective vs. lefties
- Scott has strong command if used
Weaknesses
- No stability — bullpen already taxed
- Phillies excel vs. bullpen-heavy games
- Lack of defined starter disrupts matchups
Matchup vs. Phillies
- Philadelphia ranks top‑10 vs. relievers
- Schwarber, Harper, and Bohm all profile well vs. Mets’ likely arms
- Mets’ bullpen ERA: 4.78 (bottom‑10)
Key Player Matchups
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs. Mets Bullpen
- Crushes right‑handed fastballs
- Citi Field RF porch plays well for him Edge: Schwarber
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. LHP/RHP Mix
- Harper thrives in bullpen games
- Excellent vs. sliders and cutters Edge: Harper
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Wheeler
- Career: .214 AVG vs. Wheeler
- Wheeler’s slider neutralizes him Edge: Wheeler
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) vs. Wheeler
- Good OBP vs. elite pitching
- Wheeler must avoid middle‑away fastballs Edge: Even
Series History
2024–2026 Combined
- Phillies lead 15–10
- Phillies have won 6 of last 8 at Citi Field
- Wheeler has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 5 of last 6 starts vs. Mets
2026 Season Series
- Phillies lead 3–1
- Average total runs: 8.0 per game
Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies
- 7 of last 10: UNDER
- 6–1 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts
- 5–2 last 7 road games
- 8–3 last 11 vs. NL East
New York Mets
- 6 of last 8: OVER
- 2–8 last 10 home games
- 1–5 in bullpen games
- 3–12 last 15 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies – 154
New York Mets 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 25, 2026
