Probables: NYM LHP David Peterson (3–5, 4.44 ERA) vs. PHI RHP Zack Wheeler (7–4, 3.12 ERA)
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET (10:35 AM PT)
Television: SNY, NBC Sports Philadelphia, MLB.TV
Venue & Weather
Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Expected Conditions: 82°F, partly sunny
- Wind: 10–14 mph out to right-center
- Humidity: ~55%
- Chance of Rain: <10%
- Impact:
- Boost to left-handed pull power
- Warm air increases carry
- Run environment projected: +10–12% above league average
Injury Report
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor (ankle) — Day-to-day, expected to play
- Pete Alonso (wrist) — Questionable, likely to start
- Kodai Senga (shoulder) — Out, rotation depth weakened
- Edwin Díaz (fatigue) — Available but monitored
Philadelphia Phillies
- Trea Turner (hamstring) — Out, major lineup loss
- Brandon Marsh (knee) — Day-to-day, likely bench role
- Seranthony Domínguez (elbow) — Out, bullpen leverage reduced
- Orion Kerkering (shoulder) — Out, late-inning depth weakened
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Mets (34–42)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Road Record: 15–22
- Run Differential: –27
- Strengths: improving OBP, left-handed power
- Weaknesses: rotation inconsistency, bullpen volatility
Philadelphia Phillies (41–35)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Home Record: 23–16
- Run Differential: +31
- Strengths: elite top-of-lineup production, strong rotation
- Weaknesses: missing Turner’s speed/OBP, bullpen instability
Series History
- 2023–2026 Combined: Phillies lead 18–14
- At Citizens Bank Park: Phillies lead 10–6
- Last 6 meetings: Phillies lead 4–2
- Average scoring in Philadelphia: 9.2 runs/game
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
NEW YORK — LHP David Peterson
2026 Stats: 3–5, 4.44 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 58 K in 64 IP Pitch Mix:
- Sinker: 92–94 mph
- Slider: 84–86 mph
- Changeup: 87 mph
- Curveball: 77 mph
Strengths:
- Generates ground balls
- Effective vs. left-handed hitters
- Slider can be a weapon when sharp
Weaknesses:
- Command volatility
- Prone to HRs vs. right-handed power
- Phillies have multiple RH threats (Harper from left side, Bohm, Castellanos)
Phillies vs. Peterson:
- Harper: 4-for-11, HR
- Bohm: 3-for-8, 2B
- Castellanos: 2-for-7
PHILADELPHIA — RHP Zack Wheeler
2026 Stats: 7–4, 3.12 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 96 K in 92 IP Pitch Mix:
- 4-seam: 96–98 mph
- Slider: 87–89 mph
- Curveball: 80–82 mph
- Splitter: 88 mph
Strengths:
- Elite command
- Dominant vs. right-handed hitters
- Excellent home splits (2.88 ERA at CBP)
Weaknesses:
- Occasional HR issues vs. left-handed hitters
- Mets have several LH bats with lift (Nimmo, McNeil, Vientos from right side)
Mets vs. Wheeler:
- Nimmo: 6-for-22, HR
- McNeil: 5-for-18
- Alonso: 4-for-20, HR
Key Player Matchups
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Peterson
- Harper hitting .312 with .590 SLG vs LHP in 2026
- Wind out to right-center boosts his HR profile
- Edge: Harper
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Wheeler
- Alonso hitting .284 with .540 SLG vs RHP in June
- Wheeler’s slider is the key
- Edge: Even
Alec Bohm (PHI) vs. Peterson
- Bohm hitting .301 with .510 SLG vs LHP
- Peterson’s sinker must stay down
- Edge: Bohm
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) vs. Wheeler
- Nimmo’s OBP skills vs Wheeler’s command is a chess match
- Edge: Wheeler (slightly)
Betting Trends
New York Mets
- 3–7 in last 10 road games
- 2–6 in last 8 vs. NL East
- Over is 6–2 in last 8 Peterson starts
- Mets 1–5 in last 6 Sunday games
Philadelphia Phillies
- 7–3 in last 10 home games
- 6–2 in last 8 vs. losing teams
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 Wheeler starts
- Phillies 5–1 in last 6 vs. Mets
Head-to-Head
- Phillies 4–2 last 6
- Over is 5–2 last 7 at CBP
- Home team is 7–3 last 10
Game Odds
New York Mets 8
Philadelphia Phillies – 195
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 20, 2026
