Probables: SF RHP Logan Webb (5–7, 3.61 ERA) vs. MIA RHP Gusto (RHP)
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET (10:40 AM PT)
Television: NBC Sports Bay Area, Bally Sports Florida, MLB.TV
Venue & Weather
loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida
- Roof: Expected closed due to heat/humidity
- Temperature: Controlled (72–75°F)
- Humidity: Controlled
- Wind: Not applicable indoors
Impact:
- One of MLB’s most pitcher-friendly parks
- HR suppression in deep left-center and right-center
- Run environment: –7% below league average
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
- Michael Conforto (hamstring) — Out, major loss to middle-order power
- Thairo Estrada (wrist) — Day-to-day, expected to play
- Kyle Harrison (shoulder) — Out, rotation depth weakened
- Camilo Doval (back tightness) — Available but monitored
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (toe) — Day-to-day, likely to start
- Jake Burger (oblique) — Out, reduces right-handed power
- Trevor Rogers (lat) — Out, no impact today
- A.J. Puk (shoulder) — Out, bullpen depth affected
Team Records & Recent Form
San Francisco Giants (31–45)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Road Record: 13–24
- Run Differential: –52
- Strengths: Webb’s consistency, improved infield defense
- Weaknesses: bottom-tier offense, bullpen inconsistency, poor road performance
Miami Marlins (39–38)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Home Record: 22–17
- Run Differential: –6
- Strengths: speed, contact hitting, strong bullpen late
- Weaknesses: streaky offense, limited power without Burger
Series History
- 2023–2026 Combined: Giants lead 10–8
- At loanDepot Park: Even 5–5
- Last 6 meetings: Marlins lead 4–2
- Average scoring in Miami: 7.4 runs/game
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
SAN FRANCISCO — RHP Logan Webb
2026 Stats: 5–7, 3.61 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 82 K in 94 IP Pitch Mix:
- Sinker: 92–94 mph
- Changeup: 86–88 mph
- Slider: 84–86 mph
- Cutter: 89–91 mph
Strengths:
- Elite ground-ball rate (55–58%)
- Excellent command
- Dominant vs. right-handed hitters
- Perfect fit for loanDepot Park’s dimensions
Weaknesses:
- Giants’ offense rarely gives him run support
- Vulnerable to left-handed hitters with lift
- Marlins have several lefty threats (Chisholm, Sánchez, Arraez)
Marlins vs. Webb:
- Arraez: 4-for-11, 2B
- Chisholm: 2-for-8, HR
- Sánchez: 1-for-5
MIAMI — RHP Gusto
(No official MLB stat line available; analysis based on scouting profile and early-season usage) Profile:
- Fastball: 94–96 mph
- Slider: 84–87 mph
- Changeup: 88 mph
- Command: inconsistent
- Fly-ball tendencies
Strengths:
- Generates strikeouts
- Effective vs. right-handed hitters
- Good deception on slider
Weaknesses:
- Fly-ball profile is risky even in Miami
- Walk issues
- Giants’ lineup has several hitters who excel vs. fastball/slider combos (Yastrzemski, Flores)
Giants vs. Gusto:
- First career matchup
Key Player Matchups
Luis Arraez (MIA) vs. Webb
- Arraez hitting .327 vs RHP
- Webb’s sinker/change combo must stay down
- Edge: Arraez
Matt Chapman (SF) vs. Gusto
- Chapman hitting .281 with .510 SLG vs RHP in June
- Gusto’s fly-ball tendencies favor Chapman’s lift
- Edge: Chapman
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Webb
- Chisholm’s power/speed combo is dangerous
- Webb’s sinker reduces HR risk
- Edge: Webb (slightly)
Wilmer Flores (SF) vs. Gusto
- Flores crushes sliders from righties
- Miami’s park suppresses HRs but not doubles
- Edge: Flores
Betting Trends
San Francisco Giants
- 2–8 in last 10 road games
- 1–6 in last 7 vs. NL East
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 Webb starts
- Giants 3–12 in last 15 Sunday games
Miami Marlins
- 7–3 in last 10 home games
- 5–1 in last 6 vs. sub-.500 teams
- Under is 6–2 in last 8 at loanDepot Park
- Marlins 4–1 in last 5 vs. SF
Head-to-Head
- Under is 5–2 in last 7
- Home team is 6–3 in last 9
Game Odds
San Francisco Giants – 140
Miami Marlins 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 20, 2026
