Venue: UFC APEX — Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast: ESPN+ (Prelims & Main Card)
This flyweight matchup pits a seasoned submission specialist against a rising, high‑volume prospect. Stylistically, it’s one of the most intriguing technical fights on the card.
VENUE DETAILS — UFC APEX
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Cage Size: 25-foot Octagon (smaller cage = more engagements, grappling exchanges, and pressure fighting)
- Impact:
- Favors wrestlers and submission artists
- Forces quicker engagements
- Reduces space for evasive movement — a factor for Raposo’s footwork-heavy style
INJURY REPORT & CAMP NOTES
Allan Nascimento
- No reported injuries entering fight week
- Full camp at Chute Boxe Diego Lima
- Coaches emphasize grappling transitions and back‑takes
Mitch Raposo
- No injuries reported
- Camp at Regiment Training Center with cross‑training at Lauzon MMA
- Focus on takedown defense and scrambling
FIGHTER BREAKDOWN & MATCHUP ANALYSIS
Allan “Puro Osso” Nascimento
Record: 21–7 Style: BJJ specialist, slick scrambler, pressure grappler Strengths:
- Elite back‑take ability
- Dangerous in transitions
- Strong clinch control
- Excellent cardio in grappling-heavy fights
Weaknesses:
- Limited striking power
- Can be out‑paced in stand‑up exchanges
- Sometimes too patient on the feet
Recent Form
- 3–1 in last 4 UFC fights
- Wins over strong grapplers and scramblers
- Only loss in last two years came via close decision
Path to Victory
- Force clinch exchanges
- Chain takedowns into back control
- Slow Raposo’s movement with pressure
Mitch Raposo
Record: 10–2 Style: High‑volume striker, fast footwork, scrambler Strengths:
- Fast combinations
- Excellent movement
- Solid defensive wrestling
- Good cardio and pace
Weaknesses:
- Can be controlled on the mat by elite grapplers
- Lacks finishing power at UFC level
- Sometimes overextends on combinations
Recent Form
- 2–1 in last 3 UFC fights
- Coming off a decision win showcasing improved takedown defense
- Still untested against top‑tier submission specialists
Path to Victory
- Keep fight at range
- Use lateral movement to avoid clinch
- Win rounds with volume and speed
FIGHT HISTORY & CONTEXT
- First meeting between the two
- Classic grappler vs. movement striker matchup
- Nascimento has faced higher‑level competition
- Raposo is the younger, faster fighter with more upside
BETTING TRENDS
Allan Nascimento Trends
- 7 of last 8 wins via submission
- 4 straight fights have gone Over 2.5 rounds
- 5–1 in last 6 fights as a betting favorite
Mitch Raposo Trends
- 8 of last 10 fights went to decision
- 3–1 as an underdog
- Has never been submitted
MATCHUP EDGE SUMMARY
| Category | Edge |
| Striking | Raposo |
| Power | Even |
| Grappling | Nascimento |
| Wrestling | Slight Raposo |
| Cardio | Even |
| Experience | Nascimento |
| Finishing Ability | Nascimento |
FIGHT ODDS
Allan Nascimento – 162
Mitch Raposo + 142
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 19, 2026
