Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, New York
First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET / 4:05 PM PT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Ohio • YES Network • MLB.TV
A cross‑league matchup in the Bronx features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Reds (35–39) are fighting to stay afloat in the NL Wild Card race, while the Yankees (46–28) continue to push for the AL’s best record behind elite pitching and a resurgent offense. The pitching matchup pits Cincinnati’s left‑handed workhorse Andrew Abbott against New York’s rising right‑hander Will Warren, who has been one of the Yankees’ most reliable mid‑rotation arms.
WEATHER REPORT — BRONX, NY
(Open‑air ballpark — weather will influence play)
Temperature: 80–84°F
Conditions: Clear skies
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to right field
Humidity: 55–60%
Impact:
Boost for left‑handed power hitters
Fly balls to right could carry
Slight advantage to Yankees’ lefty bats
INJURY REPORT
Cincinnati Reds
Matt McLain — OUT (shoulder)
TJ Friedl — OUT (hamstring)
Christian Encarnacion‑Strand — OUT (wrist)
Nick Lodolo — Probable (back tightness)
Alexis Díaz — Probable (forearm fatigue)
New York Yankees
Aaron Judge — Probable (rest day possible)
Giancarlo Stanton — OUT (quad strain)
Anthony Rizzo — OUT (back)
Clarke Schmidt — OUT (lat)
Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (elbow)
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Cincinnati Reds (35–39)
Last 10: 4–6
Road Record: 16–22
Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching staff overworked.
Key Note: Reds averaging 3.7 runs per game over last 14.
New York Yankees (46–28)
Last 10: 7–3
Home Record: 25–12
Trend: Pitching dominant; lineup producing timely power.
Key Note: Yankees have allowed 3 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 11.
PITCHING MATCHUP BREAKDOWN
CIN — LHP Andrew Abbott
2026 Stats: 3.92 ERA | 1.28 WHIP
Profile:
Fastball/curveball/changeup mix
Generates weak contact
Struggles vs right‑handed power
Recent Form:
4.20 ERA over last 5 starts
Home run issues resurfacing
Key Concern: Yankee Stadium is unforgiving to lefties who leave pitches up.
NYY — RHP Will Warren
2026 Stats: 3.44 ERA | 1.19 WHIP
Profile:
Heavy sinker/slider combo
Excellent command
Keeps ball on the ground
Recent Form:
2.95 ERA over last 6 starts
Strong at home (3.10 ERA)
Key Strength: Reds rank bottom‑10 in MLB vs sliders and sinkers.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) vs Will Warren
De La Cruz’s speed/power vs Warren’s command.
Warren must avoid giving him fastballs up in the zone.
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs Andrew Abbott
Judge hitting .315 with 9 HR over last 20 games.
Abbott’s fly‑ball tendencies are dangerous in the Bronx.
Spencer Steer (CIN) vs Yankees Bullpen
Steer is Cincinnati’s most consistent RBI bat.
Yankees bullpen ERA: 3.21 (top‑5 in MLB).
Juan Soto (NYY) vs Reds Pitching
Soto’s plate discipline vs a Reds staff that walks too many hitters.
Wind blowing out to right favors him.
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season Series: Yankees won 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
At Yankee Stadium: Yankees have won 4 of last 5
Trend: High‑scoring games in the Bronx — average combined runs: 9.2
BETTING TRENDS
Cincinnati Reds
3–7 in last 10 road games
6 of last 8: Under
2–5 in Abbott’s last 7 starts
New York Yankees
8–3 in last 11 overall
5 of last 7: Under
7–2 in Warren’s last 9 starts
Game Odds
Cincinnati Reds 9.5
New York Yankees – 202
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 19, 2026
