Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
First Pitch: 1:10 PM CT
Probable Pitchers:
STL — Michael McGreevy (RHP) vs. MIN — Taj Bradley (RHP)
Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest / Bally Sports North / MLB.TV
St. Louis enters Sunday looking to secure another series win and maintain momentum in the NL Central race. Minnesota, meanwhile, is trying to stop a June slide that has pushed them deeper into the AL Central standings. This matchup features two young arms trending in different directions: McGreevy, who has been steady and efficient, and Bradley, who flashes elite stuff but has struggled with command and consistency.
Venue & Weather
Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota
Dimensions: 339 ft (LF), 377 ft (LCF), 411 ft (CF), 367 ft (RCF), 328 ft (RF)
Park Factor: Slightly pitcher‑friendly, especially for HR suppression
Surface: Kentucky bluegrass
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 78–82°F
Sky: Mostly sunny
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left
Rain: <10%
Impact:
Boosts RH pull power (Arenado, Goldschmidt, Lewis)
Warm air helps carry fly balls
Pitchers must keep the ball down to avoid extra‑base damage
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Nolan Arenado — Probable (minor back tightness)
Lars Nootbaar — OUT (oblique strain)
Steven Matz — OUT (shoulder)
Giovanny Gallegos — OUT (elbow)
Impact: Arenado’s availability is crucial for the middle of the order. Bullpen depth is thinner without Gallegos.
Minnesota Twins
Royce Lewis — Probable (hamstring tightness)
Carlos Correa — OUT (wrist)
Bailey Ober — OUT (forearm)
Jhoan Duran — OUT (lat strain)
Impact: Lewis’ presence is essential for Minnesota’s offense. The bullpen is significantly weaker without Duran.
Team Records & Recent Form
St. Louis Cardinals (38–30)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 19–15
Runs/Game: 4.51
Team ERA: 3.92
Trend: Rotation stabilizing; offense improving; bullpen inconsistent late
Minnesota Twins (32–40)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 16–19
Runs/Game: 4.18
Team ERA: 4.46
Trend: Offense streaky; pitching depth stretched; bullpen unreliable
📈 Series History (2026 Season)
Cardinals lead season series 2–1
St. Louis has won 5 of the last 7 meetings
Target Field has historically favored Cardinals’ RH hitters
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
STL — Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Record: 5–3 ERA: 3.68 WHIP: 1.22 K/BB: 54/17 Last 3 Starts: 3.45 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Profile: McGreevy is a command‑first righty who thrives on weak contact and ground balls. His sinker/slider combo has been effective, and he rarely beats himself with walks.
Keys to Success:
Keep sinker low vs. Lewis
Avoid middle‑in fastballs to Kepler
Induce early‑count grounders to limit pitch count
MIN — Taj Bradley (RHP)
Record: 3–6 ERA: 4.92 WHIP: 1.38 K/BB: 78/29 Last 3 Starts: 5.10 ERA, 1.42 WHIP
Profile: Bradley has electric stuff — mid‑90s fastball, sharp cutter, and a developing curve — but command issues have led to big innings. When he’s on, he’s dominant; when he’s off, he’s hittable.
Keys to Success:
Elevate fastball vs. Goldschmidt
Use cutter early to disrupt timing
Avoid long innings — Cardinals punish mistakes
Key Player Matchups
1. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Taj Bradley
Goldschmidt crushes high‑velocity RHP
Bradley must avoid elevated heaters
2. Royce Lewis (MIN) vs. Michael McGreevy
Lewis’ bat speed matches up well with sinkerballers
McGreevy must keep the ball down and away
3. Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Twins Bullpen
Arenado’s gap power plays well at Target Field
Minnesota’s middle relief is vulnerable
4. Max Kepler (MIN) vs. McGreevy’s Slider
Kepler punishes hanging breaking balls
McGreevy must bury the slider consistently
Betting Trends
Cardinals are 8–3 in their last 11 road games
Twins are 3–8 in their last 11 overall
Over is 6–2 in St. Louis’ last 8 games
Under is 5–3 in Minnesota’s last 8 home games
Cardinals are 6–1 in McGreevy’s last 7 starts
Twins are 2–6 in Bradley’s last 8 starts
Predictive Analysis
This matchup leans toward St. Louis:
Cardinals advantages:
More consistent rotation
Better lineup depth
Stronger recent form
Twins’ bullpen is vulnerable
Twins advantages:
Lewis can change a game
Bradley has high‑end upside if he commands his fastball
GAME ODDS
St. Louis Cardinals 8.5
Minnesota Twins – 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 13, 2026
