Citi Field, Queens, NY
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Probable Pitchers:
ATL — Bryce Elder (RHP) vs. NYM — Frankie Peralta (RHP)
Broadcast: Bally Sports South / SNY / MLB.TV
Atlanta enters Sunday looking to complete another series win and maintain their position atop the NL standings. The Mets, meanwhile, continue to struggle with inconsistency, especially offensively, and are trying to avoid falling further behind in the Wild Card race. This matchup features two pitchers trending in opposite directions: Elder, who has been steady and efficient, and Peralta, who has flashed upside but remains volatile.
Venue & Weather
Citi Field — Queens, New York
- Dimensions: 335 ft (LF), 370 ft (LCF), 408 ft (CF), 375 ft (RCF), 330 ft (RF)
- Park Factor: Slightly pitcher‑friendly, especially for HR suppression
- Surface: Kentucky bluegrass
Weather Forecast
- Temperature: 77–80°F
- Sky: Partly cloudy
- Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to right‑center
- Rain: <10%
- Impact:
- Wind out boosts LHB power (Alonso, McNeil, Olson)
- Warm air helps carry fly balls
- Pitchers must keep the ball down to avoid opposite‑field HRs
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
- Ronald Acuña Jr. — OUT (ACL recovery)
- Ozzie Albies — Probable (wrist soreness)
- Sean Murphy — Healthy
- A.J. Minter — OUT (shoulder)
Impact: Acuña’s absence continues to reshape Atlanta’s lineup, but the Braves’ depth has kept them rolling. Bullpen is slightly thinner without Minter.
New York Mets
- Pete Alonso — Probable (hand contusion)
- Francisco Lindor — Healthy
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
- Edwin Díaz — OUT (lat strain)
Impact: Alonso’s status is crucial for the Mets’ power production. The bullpen is significantly weaker without Díaz.
Team Records & Recent Form
Atlanta Braves (46–24)
- Last 10: 7–3
- Road Record: 22–14
- Runs/Game: 5.02
- Team ERA: 3.62
- Trend: Elite rotation; offense steady; bullpen reliable despite injuries
New York Mets (31–39)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 15–20
- Runs/Game: 4.11
- Team ERA: 4.46
- Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching depth stretched; bullpen unreliable late
Series History (2026 Season)
- Braves lead season series 4–1
- Atlanta has won 10 of the last 13 meetings
- Citi Field has been favorable to Braves pitching in recent years
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
ATL — Bryce Elder (RHP)
Record: 7–3 ERA: 3.41 WHIP: 1.19 K/BB: 58/20 Last 3 Starts: 2.95 ERA, 1.12 WHIP
Profile: Elder is a command‑first righty who thrives on weak contact. His sinker/changeup combo generates ground balls, and he rarely beats himself with walks.
Keys to Success:
- Keep sinker low vs. Alonso and Lindor
- Induce early‑count grounders
- Avoid leaving sliders up to RH power
NYM — Frankie Peralta (RHP)
Record: 3–5 ERA: 4.72 WHIP: 1.38 K/BB: 61/27 Last 3 Starts: 5.40 ERA, 1.45 WHIP
Profile: Peralta has electric stuff but inconsistent command. His fastball touches 97, but his secondary pitches often drift into the zone. Atlanta’s disciplined lineup is a tough matchup.
Keys to Success:
- Elevate fastball vs. Olson
- Use slider early in counts
- Avoid long innings — Braves punish mistakes
Key Player Matchups
1. Matt Olson (ATL) vs. Frankie Peralta
- Olson crushes high‑velocity RHP
- Peralta must avoid elevated heaters
2. Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Bryce Elder
- Lindor excels vs. sinkerballers
- Elder must keep the ball down and away
3. Austin Riley (ATL) vs. Mets Bullpen
- Riley’s power plays well to left‑center at Citi Field
- Mets’ middle relief is vulnerable
4. Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Elder’s Slider
- Alonso punishes hanging sliders
- Elder must bury the pitch consistently
Betting Trends
- Braves are 8–3 in their last 11 road games
- Mets are 3–8 in their last 11 home games
- Over is 6–2 in Atlanta’s last 8 games
- Under is 5–3 in Mets’ last 8
- Braves are 6–1 in Elder’s last 7 starts
Predictive Analysis
This matchup strongly favors Atlanta:
Braves advantages:
- Clear starting pitching edge
- Better lineup depth
- Superior bullpen
- Strong recent form
Mets advantages:
- Alonso and Lindor can change a game
- Peralta has upside if he commands his fastball
Game Odds
Atlanta Braves 8.5
New York Mets – 108
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 13, 2026
