Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota
First Pitch: 6:10 PM CT / 4:10 PM PT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest / Bally Sports North / MLB.TV
A fascinating interleague matchup features two young left-handers trending in opposite directions. St. Louis is pushing toward the top of the NL Central, while Minnesota is trying to stabilize after a rough stretch. Target Field’s early-summer conditions should play a role in run scoring.
Weather Forecast — Minneapolis, MN
- Temperature: 77–80°F at first pitch
- Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to right field
- Humidity: ~55%
- Rain: <10% — clear, warm, slightly hitter-friendly
- Impact:
- Boost to left-handed pull hitters
- Fly balls to right field get extra carry
- Outfield gaps play fast in warm weather
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
- SP Steven Matz — OUT (shoulder)
- RP Giovanny Gallegos — 15-day IL (forearm)
- OF Lars Nootbaar — OUT (oblique)
- C Willson Contreras — Probable (hand soreness)
- 3B Nolan Arenado — Day-to-day (back tightness)
Minnesota Twins
- SP Joe Ryan — OUT (elbow)
- RP Jhoan Duran — 15-day IL (hamstring)
- OF Byron Buxton — Day-to-day (knee soreness)
- SS Carlos Correa — Probable (ankle bruise)
- 1B Alex Kirilloff — OUT (wrist)
Team Records & Recent Form
St. Louis Cardinals (37–30)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense improving.
- Road Record: 18–16
- Run Differential: +21
- Key Note: Cardinals averaging 4.9 runs per game over last 12.
Minnesota Twins (32–39)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Trend: Pitching inconsistent; offense streaky.
- Home Record: 17–19
- Run Differential: -28
- Key Note: Twins have allowed 5+ runs in 7 of last 10.
Starting Pitching Matchup
St. Louis — LHP Matthew Liberatore
- Record: 4–3
- ERA: 3.68
- WHIP: 1.24
- K/BB: 62/19
- Profile:
- Curveball-first lefty with improved command
- Generates weak contact when ahead in counts
- Vulnerable to right-handed power when fastball leaks over the plate
- Matchup Notes:
- Twins’ best hitters (Correa, Lewis, Miranda) are right-handed
- Target Field’s right-field carry is a concern for Liberatore
Minnesota — LHP Connor Prielipp
- Record: 2–4
- ERA: 4.51
- WHIP: 1.33
- K/BB: 44/17
- Profile:
- Slider-heavy lefty with swing-and-miss upside
- Still developing fastball command
- Struggles 2nd/3rd time through the order
- Matchup Notes:
- Cardinals hit lefties extremely well (top-10 OPS vs LHP)
- Goldschmidt and Contreras are dangerous matchups for Prielipp
Key Player Matchups
St. Louis Cardinals
- Paul Goldschmidt vs Prielipp: Elite matchup; Goldy crushes sliders and lefties.
- Nolan Gorman: Power threat vs fastballs; wind to right helps him.
- Masyn Winn: Speed/line-drive profile fits Target Field’s gaps.
Minnesota Twins
- Carlos Correa vs Liberatore: Correa handles lefties well; key bat.
- Royce Lewis: Hot streak (.329 last 14 games); elite vs breaking balls.
- Jose Miranda: Strong contact hitter; could be a run producer.
Series History
- 2023–2026 Combined: Cardinals lead 7–5
- At Target Field: Twins lead 3–2
- Trend:
- Last 6 meetings: Cardinals 4–2
- Games tend to be low-to-moderate scoring
Betting Trends
St. Louis
- Cardinals 7–3 last 10 road games
- Over is 6–3 in last 9
- St. Louis 5–1 in Liberatore’s last 6 starts
Minnesota
- Twins 3–7 last 10 overall
- Over is 5–2 in last 7
- Minnesota 2–5 in Prielipp’s last 7 starts
Head-to-Head
- Cardinals 6–3 in last 9 meetings
- Under is 7–4 in last 11 matchups
GAME ODDS
St. Louis Cardinals – 113
Minnesota Twins 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 12, 2026
