Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
First Pitch: 4:05 PM ET
Broadcast: MLB.TV / Local RSNs
Weather Forecast (Pittsburgh, PA)
- Temperature: 78–81°F at first pitch
- Wind: Light breeze 6–9 mph blowing out to left-center
- Humidity: ~55%
- Precipitation: <10% chance — clean hitting conditions
- Impact: Slight boost to RHB pull power, otherwise neutral.
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
- SP Edward Cabrera — OUT (shoulder)
- RP A.J. Puk — 15-day IL (lat strain)
- OF Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (hamstring tightness; expected to play)
- 1B Josh Bell — Day-to-day (wrist soreness)
Pittsburgh Pirates
- OF Bryan Reynolds — Probable (ankle; expected in lineup)
- RP David Bednar — OUT (forearm strain)
- SP Quinn Priester — 15-day IL (back)
- 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes — Day-to-day (hand contusion)
Team Records & Recent Form
Miami Marlins (35–35)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend: Offense inconsistent but pitching stabilizing.
- Road Record: 17–18
- Run Differential: -7
- Key Note: Bullpen has been significantly better over last 2 weeks (3.41 ERA).
Pittsburgh Pirates (35–35)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Trend: Offense cooling after hot stretch; pitching carrying load.
- Home Record: 18–16
- Run Differential: +4
- Key Note: Without Bednar, late innings have been shaky.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Miami — RHP Elliot Bachar (2026 Season)
- Record: 2–2
- ERA: 3.86
- WHIP: 1.23
- K/BB: 34/11
- Profile:
- Command-first righty with a heavy sinker/slider mix.
- Generates above-average ground balls (48%).
- Vulnerable to left-handed power when he falls behind in counts.
- Matchup Notes:
- Pirates have struggled vs. sinkerballers this season (team OPS .652 vs sinkers).
- Bachar’s style plays well in PNC Park’s deep left-center.
Pittsburgh — RHP Jared Chandler (2026 Season)
- Record: 4–5
- ERA: 4.12
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/BB: 61/22
- Profile:
- Four-seam/slider pitcher with rising fastball that misses bats.
- Can be homer-prone when slider backs up.
- Strong at home: 3.41 ERA at PNC Park.
- Matchup Notes:
- Marlins rank bottom-5 in MLB vs. high-spin fastballs.
- Chandler’s slider is a strong weapon vs. Miami’s righty-heavy lineup.
Key Player Matchups
Marlins Hitters
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs Chandler: .286 career (small sample), handles sliders well.
- Jake Burger: 7 HR in last 20 games; elite fastball hitter — big threat today.
- Yuli Gurriel: Contact bat that matches well with Chandler’s pitch-to-zone approach.
Pirates Hitters
- Oneil Cruz vs Bachar: Advantage Cruz — Bachar’s sinker moves into Cruz’s launch path.
- Bryan Reynolds: Switch-hitter with strong numbers vs sinkerballers.
- Henry Davis: Heating up; .310 over last 12 games.
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Pirates lead 11–8
- At PNC Park: Pirates lead 7–3
- Trend: Low-scoring games — Under is 12–7 in last 19 meetings.
Betting Trends
Miami
- Under in 6 of last 8 games
- 4–1 last 5 road games
- First 5 Innings (F5) Under hitting at 63% in Bachar starts
Pittsburgh
- 5–2 last 7 home games
- Under in 5 of last 7
- Chandler’s home starts: Under 6–3
Head-to-Head
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 meetings at PNC
- Marlins are 2–6 in last 8 in Pittsburgh
GAME ODDS
Miami Marlins 9
Pittsburgh Pirates – 113
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 12, 2026
