MLB Game Preview: St. Louis Cardinals (36-28) vs. New York Mets (29-37)

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New York Mets logo

First Pitch: – 7:10 PM ET

Citi Field — Queens, New York

Venue Information

Citi Field 41 Seaver Way, Queens, NY 11368

  • A pitcher‑friendly ballpark, especially at night.
  • Deep right‑center alley suppresses home runs.
  • Wind patterns often swirl, affecting fly‑ball carry.

Weather Forecast

  • Temperature: 71–74°F at first pitch
  • Wind: 9–12 mph blowing in from left field
  • Humidity: ~63%
  • Precipitation: <10%
  • Impact: Slightly pitcher‑friendly conditions; fly balls to left likely to die.

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Nolan Arenado — OUT (shoulder, late June return)
  • Lars Nootbaar — OUT (hamstring)
  • Tommy Edman — OUT (wrist)
  • Ryan Helsley — Probable (fatigue)
  • Steven Matz — OUT (forearm)

New York Mets

  • Francisco Lindor — OUT (ankle sprain)
  • Pete Alonso — Probable (hand soreness)
  • Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
  • Starling Marte — OUT (back)
  • Brooks Raley — OUT (elbow)

Starting Pitching Matchup

Andre Pallante — RHP, Cardinals

  • 2026 Season: 4–3, 3.66 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
  • Last 5 Starts: 3.41 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
  • Profile:
    • 94 mph sinker
    • Slider + curveball
    • Heavy ground‑ball pitcher
  • Matchup Notes: Mets’ lineup is missing Lindor and Marte, reducing their ability to elevate the ball. Pallante’s sinker plays extremely well in Citi Field’s spacious outfield.

Adam Warren — RHP, Mets

  • 2026 Season: 2–5, 4.88 ERA, 1.36 WHIP
  • Last 5 Starts: 5.12 ERA, 1.41 WHIP
  • Profile:
    • 92–93 mph fastball
    • Slider + changeup
    • Struggles vs left‑handed hitters
  • Matchup Notes: Cardinals’ left‑handed bats (Burleson, Donovan, Winn from the left side) match up well vs Warren’s pitch mix. Warren has struggled at home (5.31 ERA at Citi Field).

Team Records & Recent Form

St. Louis Cardinals (36–28)

  • Last 10: 7–3
  • Road Record: 18–14
  • Offense: 4.6 runs/game
  • Pitching: 3.92 team ERA
  • Trend: One of MLB’s hottest teams; pitching staff stabilizing.

New York Mets (29–37)

  • Last 10: 4–6
  • Home Record: 14–19
  • Offense: 4.2 runs/game
  • Pitching: 4.47 team ERA
  • Trend: Inconsistent; injuries have thinned the lineup and bullpen.

Series History

  • 2023–2026 Combined: Cardinals lead 14–10
  • At Citi Field: Cardinals have won 6 of last 9
  • Pallante vs NYM: 2.70 ERA in 3 career appearances
  • Warren vs STL: First career start

Key Player Matchups

Cardinals Hitters vs Adam Warren

  • Paul Goldschmidt: .292 vs RHP, elite vs sliders
  • Jordan Walker: .278 vs RHP, strong lift profile
  • Brendan Donovan: .301 vs RHP, excellent OBP
  • Alec Burleson: .274 vs RHP, strong vs changeups

Advantage: Cardinals

Mets Hitters vs Andre Pallante

  • Pete Alonso: .271 vs RHP, best power threat
  • Jeff McNeil: .285 vs RHP, high contact
  • Francisco Alvarez: .247 vs RHP, strong vs sinkers
  • Brett Baty: .238 vs RHP, high K‑rate

Advantage: Pallante

Projected Lineups

Cardinals

  1. Donovan — 2B
  2. Winn — SS
  3. Goldschmidt — 1B
  4. Walker — RF
  5. Burleson — LF
  6. Gorman — DH
  7. Herrera — C
  8. Siani — CF
  9. Fermin — 3B

Mets

  1. McNeil — 2B
  2. Baty — 3B
  3. Alonso — 1B
  4. Alvarez — C
  5. Vientos — DH
  6. Stewart — RF
  7. Taylor — LF
  8. Iglesias — SS
  9. Nimmo — CF

Betting Trends

St. Louis Cardinals

  • 6–1 in last 7 road games
  • 5–2 in Pallante’s last 7 starts
  • Under is 6–3 in last 9

New York Mets

  • 2–6 in last 8 home games
  • Under is 5–2 in last 7
  • 3–7 in last 10 vs Cardinals

Head‑to‑Head

  • Cardinals have covered run line in 5 of last 7
  • Under has hit in 4 of last 6 meetings

Game Odds

St. Louis Cardinals           8.5

New York Mets                 – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, June 9, 2026

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