First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT / 9:40 PM ET
Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego, California
Venue & Weather Conditions
PETCO Park is one of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly stadiums, especially at night when marine air settles in and suppresses carry.
Forecast
Temperature: 66–69°F
Wind: 7–10 mph blowing in from right-center
Humidity: ~72%
Rain: 0%
Field Conditions: Cool, damp, pitcher-friendly
Impact: Marine layer + wind in = reduced home-run carry, especially to right field. Pitchers who induce fly balls benefit; power hitters lose some lift.
Injury Report
New York Mets
Pete Alonso (1B) — Healthy and active.
Francisco Lindor (SS) — Healthy.
Starling Marte (OF) — Day-to-day, groin tightness; probable.
Kodai Senga (RHP) — IL (shoulder).
Jeff McNeil (2B) — Healthy.
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (OF) — Healthy and active.
Xander Bogaerts (SS) — IL (shoulder).
Yu Darvish (RHP) — IL (elbow).
Luis Campusano (C) — Healthy.
Ha-Seong Kim (INF) — Day-to-day, ankle soreness; expected to play.
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Mets (27–35)
Last 10: 4–6
Road Record: 12–18
Run Differential: -38
Trend: Pitching improving, offense inconsistent, bullpen unreliable late.
Key Strength: Top-end power (Alonso, Lindor).
Key Weakness: Middle relief and defensive lapses.
San Diego Padres (32–29)
Last 10: 6–4
Home Record: 17–14
Run Differential: +21
Trend: Offense heating up, rotation stabilizing, bullpen strong.
Key Strength: Balanced lineup with speed + power.
Key Weakness: Occasional strikeout issues.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Christian Scott — RHP, Mets
2026 Stats: 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.1 K/9
Recent Form: 3.20 ERA over last 4 starts
Strengths: High-ride fastball, sharp slider, excellent command
Weaknesses: Occasional home-run issues vs right-handed power
Matchup Notes:
Padres’ righties (Tatis, Machado) are dangerous.
PETCO’s marine layer helps Scott’s fly-ball tendencies.
Michael King — RHP, Padres
2026 Stats: 3.54 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.4 K/9
Recent Form: 2.95 ERA over last 5 starts
Strengths: Elite command, swing-and-miss changeup, induces weak contact
Weaknesses: Can struggle vs left-handed hitters
Matchup Notes:
Mets’ lefties (McNeil, Nimmo) match up well.
King’s changeup neutralizes aggressive hitters.
Key Player Matchups
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs. Christian Scott
Tatis has a .930 OPS vs RHP in 2026
Scott’s fastball must stay up and away
Advantage: Padres
2. Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Michael King
Alonso hits changeups well
King must avoid middle-middle fastballs
Advantage: Mets
3. Manny Machado (SD) vs. Scott
Machado thrives vs high-velocity pitchers
Scott’s slider must be sharp
Advantage: Padres
4. Brandon Nimmo (NYM) vs. King
Nimmo’s OBP skills challenge King’s command
Could be key to Mets’ run creation
Advantage: Mets
Series History
2025 Season: Padres won 4 of 6
Last 10 Meetings: Padres lead 6–4
At PETCO Park: Padres have won 7 of last 10
Trend: San Diego’s pitching consistently outperforms Mets’ bats in this park.
Betting Trends
Mets are 5–13 in their last 18 road games.
Padres are 10–4 in their last 14 home games.
Under is 8–3 in last 11 Mets road games.
King’s teams are 9–3 in his last 12 starts.
Mets are 3–9 in Scott’s last 12 road starts vs winning teams.
Game Odds
New York Mets 7.5
San Diego Padres – 125
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 4, 2026
