First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET / 4:05 PM PT
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
Venue & Weather Conditions
Yankee Stadium is one of baseball’s most power-friendly parks, especially to right field. Warm early-June conditions should help the ball jump.
Forecast
Temperature: 79–82°F
Wind: Blowing out to right at 10–13 mph
Humidity: ~62%
Rain: <10% chance
Field Conditions: Dry, warm, hitter-friendly
Impact: Wind out to right + warm air = boost for left-handed power hitters (Soto, Rizzo, Verdugo). Pitchers who allow fly balls or struggle with command may be punished.
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox
Triston Casas (1B) — IL (rib fracture).
Trevor Story (SS) — Out for season (shoulder).
Tyler O’Neill (OF) — Day-to-day, knee soreness; probable.
Kenley Jansen (RHP) — IL (hamstring).
Masataka Yoshida (DH/OF) — Healthy and expected to start.
New York Yankees
Aaron Judge (OF) — Healthy and active.
Juan Soto (OF) — Healthy; minor forearm tightness but playing.
Gleyber Torres (2B) — Day-to-day, groin tightness; game-time decision.
Carlos Rodón (LHP) — IL (back strain).
Jonathan Loáisiga (RHP) — IL (elbow).
Team Records & Recent Form
Boston Red Sox (26–35)
Last 10: 4–6
Road Record: 11–19
Run Differential: -41
Trend: Pitching inconsistent, offense overly reliant on streaky bats.
Key Strength: Top-of-order contact hitters (Yoshida, Devers).
Key Weakness: Bullpen depth and late-inning execution.
New York Yankees (37–25)
Last 10: 7–3
Home Record: 20–11
Run Differential: +54
Trend: Offense heating up, rotation stabilizing, bullpen strong.
Key Strength: Elite power and plate discipline.
Key Weakness: Occasional defensive lapses.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Sonny Gray — RHP, Red Sox
2026 Stats: 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.1 K/9
Recent Form: 3.60 ERA over last 4 starts
Strengths: Cutter/curveball combo, veteran command, induces weak contact
Weaknesses: Occasional home-run issues vs lefties
Matchup Notes:
Yankees’ lefties (Soto, Rizzo, Verdugo) are a tough assignment.
Yankee Stadium is not ideal for Gray’s fly-ball tendencies.
Ryan Weathers — LHP, Yankees
2026 Stats: 3.76 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.2 K/9
Recent Form: 2.95 ERA over last 5 starts
Strengths: Improved fastball command, slider generating whiffs
Weaknesses: Vulnerable vs right-handed power
Matchup Notes:
Red Sox righties (O’Neill, Rafaela, Dalbec) match up well.
Boston’s offense struggles vs lefties overall (.228 team AVG vs LHP).
Key Player Matchups
1. Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Sonny Gray
Soto has a 1.020 OPS vs RHP in 2026
Gray’s cutter moves into Soto’s launch angle sweet spot
Advantage: Yankees
2. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Weathers
Devers hits lefties well (.290 AVG, .540 SLG vs LHP)
Weathers’ slider must stay down
Advantage: Red Sox
3. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Gray
Judge has 14 HR at home already
Gray’s curveball must be sharp
Advantage: Yankees
4. Masataka Yoshida (BOS) vs. Weathers
Yoshida excels vs soft-contact pitchers
Could be Boston’s best on-base threat
Advantage: Red Sox
Series History
2025 Season: Yankees won 10 of 13
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 7–3
At Yankee Stadium: Yankees have won 8 of last 10
Trend: New York’s power consistently overwhelms Boston’s pitching in the Bronx.
Betting Trends
Yankees are 12–4 in their last 16 home games.
Red Sox are 6–15 in their last 21 road games.
Over is 7–2 in last 9 Yankees home games.
Gray’s teams are 2–8 in his last 10 road starts vs AL East opponents.
Yankees are 9–3 in Weathers’ last 12 starts.
Game Odds
Boston Red Sox 8
New York Yankees – 140
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 4, 2026
