Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET / 10:40 AM PT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Florida / SNY / MLB.TV
Probable Pitchers:
MIA: RHP Janson Junk (2–4, 4.67 ERA)
NYM: RHP Tyler McLean (3–5, 4.12 ERA)
Both teams enter this matchup trying to escape the NL East basement. Miami has dropped 7 of its last 10, while the Mets are trying to salvage a disappointing May.
VENUE & WEATHER CONDITIONS
Citi Field — Queens, NY
Park Factor: Pitcher‑friendly, suppresses HRs to center
Dimensions: 335 LF / 408 CF / 330 RF
Ballpark Impact: Boosts doubles, reduces cheap HRs
Weather Forecast (May 31, 2026)
Temperature: 74–77°F at first pitch
Wind: 12–15 mph blowing in from right‑center
Humidity: 55%
Rain: <10%
Impact: Boost to pitchers, especially fly‑ball arms
INJURY REPORT
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (ankle)
Jake Burger — OUT (wrist)
Josh Bell — Available
Jesús Luzardo — OUT (forearm)
Tanner Scott — Available
Miami’s lineup is weakened without Burger, but Chisholm’s return helps.
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor — Probable (hamstring)
Pete Alonso — Available
Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
Starling Marte — OUT (back)
Edwin Díaz — Available
The Mets are missing Marte’s speed and Senga’s rotation stability.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
MIAMI MARLINS (26–33)
Last 10 Games: 3–7
Road Record: 12–18
Most Recent: Lost 4–2 to Mets (May 30)
Team Strengths
Good team speed
Improved bullpen (Scott, Nardi, Puk)
Chisholm heating up
Junk showing better command recently
Team Weaknesses
Missing Burger reduces power
Inconsistent run production
Rotation instability
Struggles vs. right‑handed pitching
NEW YORK METS (25–33)
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Home Record: 13–16
Most Recent: Won 4–2 vs. Miami
Team Strengths
Strong top‑of‑order production (Lindor, Alonso, McNeil)
Good bullpen back end (Díaz, Ottavino)
McLean pitching well at home
Solid defensive metrics
Team Weaknesses
Missing Marte reduces lineup balance
High strikeout rate
Middle relief inconsistency
Inconsistent run support
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
MIA — RHP JANSON JUNK
2026 Stats: 2–4, 4.67 ERA, 1.34 WHIP
Last 3 Starts: 16.2 IP, 9 ER, 14 K, 5 BB
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam (44%)
Slider (32%)
Changeup (14%)
Curveball (10%)
Matchup Notes
Mets hit four‑seamers well
Junk’s slider must be sharp vs. Alonso + Lindor
Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters (McNeil, Baty)
Wind blowing in helps suppress HR damage
Edge: Mets lineup
NYM — RHP TYLER McLEAN
2026 Stats: 3–5, 4.12 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Last 3 Starts: 18.0 IP, 7 ER, 19 K, 4 BB
Pitch Mix:
Sinker (36%)
Slider (30%)
Four‑seam (20%)
Changeup (14%)
Matchup Notes
Marlins struggle vs. sinkers
McLean’s slider effective vs. Miami’s left‑handed bats
Must avoid Chisholm’s pull‑side power
Citi Field environment favors his pitch‑to‑contact style
Edge: McLean
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Janson Junk
Alonso vs. four‑seamers: .301 AVG / .610 SLG
Junk relies heavily on fastball Advantage: Alonso
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Tyler McLean
Chisholm vs. sinkers: .244 AVG / .430 SLG
McLean’s sinker is his primary pitch Advantage: McLean
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Junk
Lindor vs. sliders: .289 AVG / .515 SLG
Junk’s slider must be elite Advantage: Lindor
SERIES HISTORY
Last 3 Seasons (2024–2026)
Mets lead 14–11
At Citi Field: Mets lead 8–5
Average combined runs: 8.1 per game
2026 Season Series
Mets lead 2–0 (5–3 and 4–2 wins)
BETTING TRENDS
Miami Marlins
3–7 in last 10
Under is 6–3 in last 9
2–6 in last 8 vs. NL East
New York Mets
5–2 in last 7 home games
Under is 5–2 in last 7
6–3 in last 9 vs. losing teams
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Mets are 6–1 in last 7 meetings
Under is 4–1 in last 5 at Citi Field
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 7.5
New York Mets – 156
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 30, 2026
