Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET / 1:10 PM PT
Broadcast: SNY / Bally Sports Florida / MLB.TV
Probable Pitchers:
- MIA: RHP Trevor Phillips (3–5, 4.39 ERA)
- NYM: RHP Christian Scott (2–6, 4.12 ERA)
VENUE & WEATHER CONDITIONS
Citi Field — Queens, NY
- Park Factor: Pitcher‑friendly, suppresses HRs to center and right
- Dimensions: 335 LF / 408 CF / 330 RF
- Ballpark Impact: Favors pitchers with fly‑ball tendencies
Weather Forecast
- Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
- Wind: 10–14 mph blowing in from left field
- Humidity: 55%
- Rain: <10% chance
- Impact: Boost to pitchers, especially right‑handers; reduces HR carry
INJURY REPORT
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (hamstring tightness)
- Jake Burger — OUT (wrist)
- Jesús Luzardo — OUT (forearm)
- Bryan De La Cruz — Available
- A.J. Puk — Available
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle)
- Pete Alonso — OUT (hand fracture)
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
- Starling Marte — Available
- Edwin Díaz — Available
Both teams are missing major power bats (Burger, Alonso), which further pushes this matchup toward a lower‑scoring profile.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
MIAMI MARLINS (26–32)
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Road Record: 12–17
Most Recent: Lost 4–3 to Mets (May 29)
Team Strengths
- Strong contact hitting
- Improved bullpen in late May
- Good team speed
- Phillips trending upward
Team Weaknesses
- Missing middle‑order power
- Inconsistent run production
- Rotation depth thin without Luzardo
- Poor performance vs. right‑handed sliders
NEW YORK METS (24–33)
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Home Record: 13–16
Most Recent: Won 4–3 vs. Miami
Team Strengths
- Strong top‑of‑order OBP
- Scott generating more swing‑and‑miss lately
- Bullpen stabilizing (Díaz, Ottavino)
- Good defensive infield
Team Weaknesses
- Missing Alonso’s power
- Bottom‑third in MLB in HRs
- Inconsistent middle relief
- Struggles vs. high‑velocity fastballs
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
MIA — RHP TREVOR PHILLIPS
2026 Stats: 3–5, 4.39 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Last 3 Starts: 17.0 IP, 7 ER, 18 K, 5 BB
Pitch Mix:
- Four‑seam (46%)
- Slider (32%)
- Changeup (12%)
- Curveball (10%)
Matchup Notes
- Mets struggle vs. high‑spin sliders
- Citi Field suppresses HRs, helping Phillips’ fly‑ball tendencies
- Vulnerable to left‑handed contact hitters (McNeil, Nimmo)
Edge: Slight to Phillips
NYM — RHP CHRISTIAN SCOTT
2026 Stats: 2–6, 4.12 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Last 3 Starts: 18.1 IP, 8 ER, 20 K, 4 BB
Pitch Mix:
- Four‑seam (44%)
- Slider (34%)
- Changeup (14%)
- Curveball (8%)
Matchup Notes
- Marlins struggle vs. right‑handed sliders
- Scott’s command improving
- Miami’s lineup missing power threats
Edge: Scott
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Christian Scott
- Jazz vs. sliders: .238 AVG / .411 SLG
- Scott’s slider is his best pitch Advantage: Scott
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Trevor Phillips
- Lindor heating up (.302 last 12 games)
- Phillips’ fastball can be hittable when elevated Advantage: Lindor
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs. Scott
- De La Cruz vs. four‑seamers: .289 AVG / .512 SLG
- Wind blowing in reduces HR potential Advantage: Even
SERIES HISTORY
Last 3 Seasons (2024–2026)
- Mets lead 17–14
- At Citi Field: Mets lead 10–6
- Average combined runs: 8.4 per game
2026 Season Series
- Mets lead 1–0 (4–3 win on May 29)
BETTING TRENDS
Miami Marlins
- 4–2 in last 6 road games
- Under is 6–3 in last 9
- 3–7 in last 10 vs. NL East
New York Mets
- 3–6 in last 9 home games
- Under is 5–2 in last 7
- 4–1 in last 5 vs. losing teams
Head‑to‑Head Trends
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 meetings
- Mets are 6–3 in last 9 at Citi Field
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 7
New York Mets – 128
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026
