First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Television: SNY, Bally Sports Florida, MLB.TV
Series: Game 1 of 3
The Mets return home trying to stop a slide that has pushed them to the bottom of the NL East, while the Marlins look to build momentum after stabilizing their rotation. This matchup features Miami’s young right‑hander Max Meyer, who has flashed ace‑level upside, against veteran strikeout artist Freddy Peralta, who has struggled with command and home runs in 2026. Both teams have been inconsistent offensively, making this a potentially tight, pitching‑driven opener.
WEATHER & BALLPARK CONDITIONS
Temperature: 71–74°F at first pitch
Sky: Partly cloudy
Humidity: 55–60%
Wind: 10–13 mph blowing out to right‑center
Chance of Rain: <10%
Projected Park Factor: Pitcher‑friendly, but wind boosts HR potential for left‑handed hitters
Conditions slightly favor left‑handed power bats.
INJURY REPORT
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ACTIVE
Jake Burger — PROBABLE (hand soreness)
Jesús Sánchez — QUESTIONABLE (hamstring)
Edward Cabrera — OUT (shoulder inflammation)
Tanner Scott — ACTIVE
New York Mets
Pete Alonso — ACTIVE
Francisco Lindor — PROBABLE (ankle soreness)
Starling Marte — OUT (oblique strain)
Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder rehab)
Brooks Raley — ACTIVE
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Miami Marlins (26–31)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 12–17
Run Differential: –22
Trend: Pitching improving; offense inconsistent but showing signs of life
Miami has been competitive in most games but struggles to close out tight contests.
New York Mets (23–33)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 11–16
Run Differential: –41
Trend: Pitching struggling; bullpen unreliable; offense streaky
The Mets have been unable to sustain momentum due to injuries and bullpen collapses.
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season Series: Mets won 8–5
Last 10 Meetings: Mets lead 6–4
At Citi Field: Mets have won 5 of last 7
Average Runs/Game (last 5 matchups): 8.2
These teams tend to play competitive, mid‑scoring games.
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
MIA — MAX MEYER (RHP)
2026 Stats: 3.58 ERA | 1.19 WHIP | 9.1 K/9
Last 3 Starts: 2.74 ERA, 1.07 WHIP
Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, slider (elite), changeup
Strengths: Swing‑and‑miss slider; excellent vs. right‑handed hitters
Weakness: Occasional fastball command lapses; vulnerable to lefty power
Matchup Outlook: Meyer’s slider is a major weapon against the Mets’ right‑handed core, but lefties like McNeil and Vientos could cause trouble.
NYM — FREDDY PERALTA (RHP)
2026 Stats: 4.89 ERA | 1.36 WHIP | 10.8 K/9
Last 3 Starts: 5.44 ERA, 1.41 WHIP
Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, curveball, slider, changeup
Strengths: High strikeout upside; elite spin rates
Weakness: HR‑prone; struggles with walks; inconsistent early innings
Matchup Outlook: Peralta’s volatility makes him a high‑risk, high‑reward starter. Miami’s aggressive hitters match up well against his fastball.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Freddy Peralta
Chisholm crushes high fastballs
Peralta struggles vs. left‑handed power
Edge: Chisholm Jr.
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Max Meyer
Alonso punishes mistakes
Meyer’s slider can neutralize him if located well
Edge: Even
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. MIA Bullpen
Lindor excels vs. late‑inning fastballs
Miami’s bullpen has been inconsistent
Edge: Lindor
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs. NYM Pitching
De La Cruz is heating up
Mets’ middle relief is vulnerable to right‑handed power
Edge: De La Cruz
BETTING TRENDS
Miami Marlins
4–2 in last 6
Under is 5–3 in last 8
3–7 in last 10 road games
New York Mets
2–6 in last 8
1–5 in last 6 home games
Over is 6–4 in last 10
Head‑to‑Head
Mets 6–4 last 10
Unders hit in 3 of last 5
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 7.5
New York Mets – 108
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, May 28, 2026
