MMA UFC Macau Match Preview: Tallison Teixeira (12-2-0) vs. Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0)

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Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Heavyweight (265 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric international venues, known for:

  • Fast canvas that benefits explosive strikers
  • Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can drain cardio quickly
  • Strong crowd support for Asian and global heavyweights
  • 30‑foot Octagon, giving power punchers more space to set traps

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, intense, and perfect for heavyweight chaos.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
  • Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
  • US Pacific Time (Your Time):
    • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
    • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Tallison Teixeira

  • No reported injuries
  • Full camp completed in Curitiba
  • Weight cut not required (heavyweight)
  • Focused heavily on wrestling defense and counter‑boxing

Sergei Pavlovich

  • Minor back tightness in March — fully resolved
  • No current limitations
  • Completed full power‑striking camp in Dagestan and Dubai

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Tallison Teixeira

Record: 12–2 Style: Technical boxer / counter‑striker Height/Reach: 6’4” / 78” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

  • Clean, technical boxing
  • Excellent counter right hand
  • Good footwork for a heavyweight
  • Solid defensive grappling

Weaknesses

  • Not a one‑punch KO artist
  • Can be overwhelmed by pressure
  • Slow starter

Sergei Pavlovich

Record: 18–3 Style: Power striker / blitz finisher Height/Reach: 6’3” / 84” Stance: Southpaw

Strengths

  • One of the hardest hitters in the division
  • Fast, aggressive entries
  • Devastating uppercuts and hooks
  • Excellent finishing instincts

Weaknesses

  • Defensive gaps in extended exchanges
  • Can be countered when blitzing
  • Cardio fades after Round 1

RECENT FORM

Tallison Teixeira — Last 5

  • Win — Decision
  • Win — KO
  • Win — Decision
  • Loss — KO
  • Win — TKO

Teixeira is 4–1 in his last five, showing improved composure and better defensive movement.

Sergei Pavlovich — Last 5

  • Loss — KO
  • Loss — KO
  • Win — KO
  • Win — KO
  • Loss — Decision

Pavlovich is 2–3 in his last five, but all losses came against top‑5 heavyweights. His power remains elite.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

  • First meeting between the two
  • Classic technical counter‑striker vs. explosive power puncher
  • Teixeira’s best path: stay long, counter Pavlovich’s blitzes, drag the fight into Round 2+
  • Pavlovich’s best path: apply pressure early, force exchanges, land power combinations
  • If the fight stays at range, Teixeira has the advantage
  • If Pavlovich closes distance early, he can end the fight violently

This is a high‑variance heavyweight matchup where one mistake can end the fight.

BETTING TRENDS

Tallison Teixeira Trends

  • 3 of last 4 wins by finish
  • 5–0 when landing 30+ significant strikes
  • 4–1 when fights go past Round 1
  • Strong counter‑striking success vs aggressive opponents

Sergei Pavlovich Trends

  • 15 of 18 wins by KO
  • 7 first‑round finishes in UFC
  • 0–3 in fights that reach Round 3
  • 6–1 when landing the first knockdown

Matchup Trends

  • Teixeira’s counters vs. Pavlovich’s blitzes
  • Pavlovich’s power vs. Teixeira’s durability
  • Over/Under depends entirely on whether Pavlovich lands early

FIGHT ODDS

Tallison Teixeira                + 425

Sergei Pavlovich               – 600

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026