MMA UFC Macau Match Preview: Su Mudaerji (16-5-0) vs. Alex Perez (24-9-0)

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Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Flyweight (125 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

  • Fast canvas that favors strikers and scramblers
  • Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
  • Strong crowd support for Chinese fighters, especially rising stars
  • 30‑foot Octagon, giving rangy strikers more space

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑China, and high‑energy — a major factor for Su Mudaerji.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
  • Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
  • US Pacific Time (Your Time):
    • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
    • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Su Mudaerji

  • No reported injuries
  • Full camp completed in Chengdu
  • Weight cut expected to be smooth
  • Focused heavily on takedown defense

Alex Perez

  • Minor ankle soreness in early April — fully resolved
  • No current limitations
  • Completed full wrestling‑heavy camp in California

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Su “The Tibetan Eagle” Mudaerji

Record: 16–5 Style: Long‑range striker / sniper Height/Reach: 5’8” / 72” Stance: Southpaw

Strengths

  • Lightning‑fast straight left
  • Excellent kicking game
  • Strong footwork and distance management
  • Dangerous in early rounds

Weaknesses

  • Defensive grappling remains a concern
  • Can be backed up by pressure wrestlers
  • Cardio fades in late rounds

Alex Perez

Record: 24–9 Style: Pressure wrestler / boxer Height/Reach: 5’6” / 65” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

  • Strong wrestling and top control
  • Heavy leg kicks
  • Good boxing fundamentals
  • High fight IQ and experience

Weaknesses

  • Can be hurt early by fast strikers
  • Sometimes struggles with rangy southpaws
  • Durability has been inconsistent

RECENT FORM

Su Mudaerji — Last 5

  • Win — KO
  • Loss — Submission
  • Loss — KO
  • Win — Decision
  • Win — KO

Su is 3–2 in his last five, with explosive striking but clear vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges.

Alex Perez — Last 5

  • Win — Decision
  • Loss — Decision
  • Loss — KO
  • Win — Decision
  • Loss — Submission

Perez is 2–3 in his last five, but all losses came against top‑10 competition. His wrestling remains elite.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

  • First meeting between the two
  • Classic striker vs. wrestler dynamic
  • Su’s best path: keep the fight at range, use kicks, land the straight left
  • Perez’s best path: pressure early, mix in takedowns, grind Su against the fence
  • If the fight stays standing, Su has the advantage
  • If Perez gets consistent takedowns, he controls the fight

This is a high‑variance matchup where early momentum matters greatly.

BETTING TRENDS

Su Mudaerji Trends

  • 4 of last 6 wins by KO
  • 5–1 when landing 40+ significant strikes
  • 0–3 when taken down more than twice
  • Strong early finisher

Alex Perez Trends

  • 6–2 when landing 3+ takedowns
  • 4 of last 5 losses by finish
  • 5–1 when winning Round 1
  • 3–0 vs southpaws in UFC

Matchup Trends

  • Su’s speed vs. Perez’s pressure
  • Perez’s wrestling vs. Su’s takedown defense
  • Cage size favors Su’s movement

FIGHT ODDS

Su Mudaerji       + 125

Alex Perez           – 145

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026