First Pitch: 7:07 PM ET
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Capacity: 49,282 Surface: Artificial Turf
Roof: Expected CLOSED (cool temps + wind)
Broadcast: Bally Sports Florida, Sportsnet, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — ROGERS CENTRE (TORONTO, ON)
Roof expected closed, making conditions controlled and neutral.
- Outside Temp: 63°F
- Wind: 12–15 mph out to left field (irrelevant indoors)
- Humidity: 58%
- Rain: 20% chance
Ballpark Impact: With the roof closed, Rogers Centre plays neutral to slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for line‑drive hitters.
INJURY REPORT
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ACTIVE (minor back tightness)
- Jake Burger — QUESTIONABLE (hand contusion; game‑time decision)
- Jesús Luzardo — IL (elbow)
- A.J. Puk — IL (shoulder)
- Bryan De La Cruz — ACTIVE (rest day Tuesday)
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette — ACTIVE (hamstring tightness managed)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ACTIVE (minor knee soreness)
- George Springer — IL (wrist)
- Alek Manoah — IL (shoulder)
- Jordan Romano — ACTIVE (normal workload)
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Miami Marlins (26–30)
- Last 10 games: 4–6
- Road record: 11–16
- Run differential: –22
- Strength: Young rotation, athletic lineup
- Weakness: Bullpen inconsistency, streaky offense
Miami has dropped 5 of its last 7 and continues to struggle in close games.
Toronto Blue Jays (26–29)
- Last 10 games: 5–5
- Home record: 13–14
- Run differential: –11
- Strength: Middle‑order power, strong top‑end pitching
- Weakness: Bottom‑third lineup production, defensive lapses
Toronto has been inconsistent but is coming off a strong pitching week.
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
Eury Pérez — RHP, Marlins
- 2026 ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.19
- K/BB: 3.7
- Last 3 starts: 17.2 IP, 8 ER, 20 K
- Pitch mix: 98 mph 4‑seam, slider, curve, change
Pérez has electric stuff and elite strikeout ability. His challenge is pitch efficiency; he often runs high pitch counts early.
Concern: Toronto’s RH power (Guerrero, Bichette, Varsho) punishes elevated fastballs.
Kevin Gausman — RHP, Blue Jays
- 2026 ERA: 3.41
- WHIP: 1.15
- K/BB: 4.4
- Last 3 starts: 19.0 IP, 6 ER, 21 K
- Pitch mix: 95 mph 4‑seam, elite splitter, slider
Gausman’s splitter remains one of MLB’s most dominant pitches, generating a 42% whiff rate. When he commands his fastball, he’s nearly unhittable.
Concern: Miami’s left‑handed bats (Chisholm, Sánchez) hit splitters better than most.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Eury Pérez
- Guerrero vs 97+ mph fastballs: .315 AVG, .580 SLG
- Pérez lives at 97–99 mph
- Guerrero has 3 HR in his last 6 games
Edge: Blue Jays
2. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Kevin Gausman
- Chisholm vs splitters: .280 AVG, .500 SLG
- Gausman’s splitter is elite, but Chisholm handles low pitches well
Edge: Even
3. Bo Bichette (TOR) vs. Miami Bullpen
- Bichette has been hot (.333 last 10 games)
- Marlins bullpen ERA last 10 games: 5.18
Edge: Blue Jays
4. Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs. Gausman’s Fastball
- De La Cruz vs 95+ mph: .290 AVG
- Gausman’s fastball can be hittable when elevated
Edge: Slight Marlins
SERIES HISTORY
- 2026 season series: Blue Jays lead 1–0
- Last 20 meetings: Blue Jays 12, Marlins 8
- At Rogers Centre since 2015: Blue Jays 9–5
- Average runs per game: 8.7
Toronto has controlled this matchup at home.
BETTING TRENDS
Miami Marlins
- 3–6 last 9 games
- 2–5 last 7 road games
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 Pérez starts
Toronto Blue Jays
- 5–2 last 7 home games
- 6–3 last 9 vs teams under .500
- Under is 4–1 in last 5 Gausman starts
Head‑to‑Head
- Blue Jays are 4–1 in last 5 meetings
- Home team is 6–2 in last 8
- First‑five innings Under is 5–2 in last 7
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 7.5
Toronto Blue Jays – 154
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 26, 2026
