MLB Game Preview: Cincinnati Reds (29-25) vs. New York Mets (22-33)

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New York Mets logo

First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY

Capacity: 41,922

Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass

Broadcast: Bally Sports Ohio, SNY, MLB.TV

WEATHER REPORT — CITI FIELD (QUEENS, NY)

  • Temperature: 73°F at first pitch
  • Wind: 10–13 mph out to right‑center (boost for LH pull hitters)
  • Humidity: 64%
  • Chance of Rain: <5%
  • Ballpark Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly for left‑handed power; warm air + wind to RC increases carry.

INJURY REPORT

Cincinnati Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz — ACTIVE (minor knee bruise, cleared)
  • Christian Encarnacion‑Strand — IL (wrist)
  • TJ Friedl — QUESTIONABLE (hamstring tightness)
  • Nick Lodolo — IL (shoulder fatigue)
  • Alexis Díaz — ACTIVE (normal workload)

New York Mets

  • Pete Alonso — ACTIVE (rest day Tuesday, expected to start)
  • Francisco Lindor — ACTIVE (ankle soreness managed)
  • Starling Marte — IL (back)
  • Kodai Senga — IL (shoulder)
  • Brooks Raley — IL (elbow)

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

Cincinnati Reds (29–25)

  • Last 10 games: 6–4
  • Road record: 14–13
  • Run differential: +14
  • Strength: Speed, athleticism, improving rotation
  • Weakness: Inconsistent middle‑order production

The Reds have won 5 of their last 7 and are trending upward behind strong pitching and aggressive baserunning.

New York Mets (22–33)

  • Last 10 games: 3–7
  • Home record: 11–16
  • Run differential: –41
  • Strength: Top‑end talent (Lindor, Alonso)
  • Weakness: Rotation depth, bullpen volatility, bottom‑third offense

The Mets have dropped 7 of their last 10 and continue to struggle in close games.

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott — LHP, Reds

  • 2026 ERA: 3.62
  • WHIP: 1.21
  • K/BB: 3.1
  • Last 3 starts: 17.1 IP, 6 ER, 18 K
  • Pitch mix: 92 mph 4‑seam, curve, change, cutter

Abbott has been excellent recently, commanding the zone and generating soft contact. His changeup has been a weapon vs right‑handed hitters.

Concern: Mets’ RH bats (Alonso, Lindor, Baty) have strong numbers vs LHP.

Roddery Brazoban — RHP, Mets

  • 2026 ERA: 4.44
  • WHIP: 1.36
  • K/BB: 2.4
  • Last 3 starts: 14.2 IP, 10 ER, 11 K
  • Pitch mix: 95 mph sinker, slider, change

Brazoban has electric stuff but inconsistent command. When he’s ahead in counts, he’s tough; when behind, he gets hit hard.

Concern: Reds are a patient lineup and feast on sinkers left up.

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Elly De La Cruz (CIN) vs. Brazoban

  • Elly vs sinkers: .310 AVG, .580 SLG
  • Brazoban’s sinker is his most erratic pitch
  • Elly’s speed + Citi Field’s big gaps = extra‑base potential

Edge: Reds

2. Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Abbott

  • Alonso vs LHP in 2026: .298 AVG, .640 SLG
  • Abbott’s fastball is not overpowering
  • Alonso has 3 HR in his last 6 games

Edge: Mets

3. Spencer Steer (CIN) vs. Mets Bullpen

  • Steer has been hot (.345 last 10 games)
  • Mets bullpen ERA last 10 games: 5.12

Edge: Reds

4. Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Abbott’s Changeup

  • Lindor vs LHP changeups: .270 AVG, .510 SLG
  • Abbott’s changeup is his best pitch
  • This matchup is strength vs strength

Edge: Even

SERIES HISTORY

  • 2026 season series: Reds lead 2–1
  • Last 20 meetings: Reds 11, Mets 9
  • At Citi Field since 2023: Mets 12–10
  • Average runs per game: 8.6

This matchup has been tight for several seasons.

BETTING TRENDS

Cincinnati Reds

  • 5–2 last 7 games
  • 6–1 last 7 vs NL East
  • Over is 4–1 in last 5 road games

New York Mets

  • 3–7 last 10 games
  • 2–6 last 8 home games
  • Under is 5–2 in last 7 Brazoban starts

Head‑to‑Head

  • Reds are 4–1 in last 5 meetings
  • Road team is 5–2 in last 7
  • First‑five innings Over is 6–3 in last 9

Game Odds

Cincinnati Reds                 8.5

New York Mets                 – 117

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 26, 2026