First Pitch: 6:45 PM PT
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
Surface: Natural Grass
Probable Pitchers:
- ARI — Merrill Kelly (RHP)
- SF — Nick Avila Roupp (RHP)
Weather Outlook (San Francisco, CA)
- Temperature: 58–61°F at first pitch
- Wind: 12–16 mph blowing out toward right‑center (typical Oracle Park marine breeze)
- Humidity: ~72%
- Precipitation: <5% — no rain threat
- Ballpark Impact:
- Cool air suppresses carry
- Wind helps balls hit to right‑center
- Right‑handed opposite‑field hitters and left‑handed pull hitters get a mild boost
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Corbin Carroll — Day‑to‑day (shoulder soreness; likely to play)
- Ketel Marte — Probable (hamstring tightness)
- Gabriel Moreno — OUT (thumb)
- Eduardo Rodriguez — OUT (lat strain)
- Paul Sewald — Probable (light bullpen workload expected)
San Francisco Giants
- Michael Conforto — OUT (hamstring)
- Jorge Soler — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
- Kyle Harrison — OUT (forearm)
- Camilo Doval — OUT (shoulder)
- Patrick Bailey — Probable (illness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks (28–24)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 14–12
- Run Differential: +21
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but explosive when Carroll/Marte are healthy
- Key Note: Arizona has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 5 of last 7 wins
San Francisco Giants (22–31)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Home Record: 12–14
- Run Differential: -45
- Trend: Bullpen depleted; offense struggling without Conforto/Soler
- Key Note: Giants have scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of last 10
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
ARI — Merrill Kelly (RHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~3.62
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/9: 9.0
- HR/9: 0.9
- Profile: Veteran command‑first righty; mixes four‑seam, cutter, changeup
- Strengths: Excellent vs. LHB; elite changeup neutralizes left‑handed power
- Weaknesses: Occasional early traffic; can be hittable if cutter flattens
- Matchup Fit: Giants’ lineup lacks consistent RH power → favorable
SF — Nick Avila Roupp (RHP)
- 2026 Stats:
- ERA: ~4.71
- WHIP: 1.34
- K/9: 8.0
- HR/9: 1.2
- Profile: Fastball/slider righty; relies on weak contact
- Strengths: Effective vs. RH hitters
- Weaknesses: Struggles vs. LHB; command inconsistent
- Matchup Fit: Arizona’s left‑handed bats (Pederson, Thomas) and switch hitters (Marte) match up well
Key Player Matchups
Diamondbacks Hitters vs. Roupp
- Ketel Marte: .300+ career vs. RHP; excellent matchup
- Joc Pederson: Pull‑side power fits Oracle Park’s wind pattern
- Corbin Carroll: Speed + gap power; dangerous vs. command‑inconsistent RHP
Giants Hitters vs. Kelly
- LaMonte Wade Jr.: Best OBP threat; limited power vs. Kelly’s changeup
- Wilmer Flores: Strong vs. RHP; best HR threat in current lineup
- Heliot Ramos: Hot streak but high K% vs. changeup‑heavy pitchers
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Diamondbacks lead 17–13
- At Oracle Park: Arizona has won 6 of last 9
- Scoring Trend: UNDER in 7 of last 10 meetings
Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks
- 5–2 last 7 as a road favorite
- UNDER 6–3 last 9
- Kelly: Diamondbacks are 7–3 in his starts
San Francisco Giants
- 2–6 last 8 overall
- UNDER 8–3 last 11 home games
- Roupp: Giants are 3–6 in his starts
Head‑to‑Head
- Arizona 4–1 last 5
- UNDER 7–3 last 10 in San Francisco
Game Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks 7.5
San Francisco Giants – 135
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 24, 2026
