First Pitch: 1:10 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Surface: Retractable roof (roof status announced ~2 hours pregame)
Weather & Park Conditions
Forecast outside the dome:
- Temp: 74°F
- Wind: SW at 8–12 mph
- Humidity: 58%
- Precipitation: <10%
Impact: American Family Field typically plays neutral-to-slightly hitter‑friendly when the roof is open. If closed (likely for comfort), run environment normalizes. No major weather‑driven edge unless roof remains open, which would slightly boost carry to LF/CF.
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Mookie Betts — active (recent minor hand contusion, no restrictions)
- Max Muncy — OUT (oblique strain, 10‑day IL)
- Walker Buehler — OUT (elbow management)
- Evan Phillips — OUT (lat strain)
- Jason Heyward — OUT (back tightness)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich — active (managed back soreness, expected to start)
- Brice Turang — OUT (hamstring, IL)
- Robert Gasser — OUT (Tommy John surgery)
- Garrett Mitchell — OUT (shoulder)
- DL Hall — OUT (knee)
Team Records & Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers (32–20)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Run Diff: +62
- Road Record: 15–11
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent outside Betts/Freeman/Ohtani core.
Milwaukee Brewers (30–19)
- Last 10: 7–3
- Run Diff: +34
- Home Record: 16–9
- Trend: Young rotation overperforming; bullpen elite; offense streaky but opportunistic.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Yoshinobu Yamamoto — Dodgers (RHP)
- 2026: 3.21 ERA | 1.09 WHIP | 63 K / 12 BB
- Last 3 starts: 19.2 IP, 4 ER, 23 K
- Pitch mix: 96 mph four‑seam, splitter, cutter, curve
- Matchup notes:
- Brewers struggle vs elite splitters (bottom‑third MLB xwOBA vs split‑change profiles).
- Yamamoto has dominated right‑heavy lineups; MIL likely starts 6 RHB.
Brandon Sproat — Brewers (RHP)
- Rookie season: 3.88 ERA | 1.27 WHIP | 28 K / 11 BB
- Last start: 5.0 IP, 2 ER vs PIT
- Profile: Power sinker/slider with emerging changeup
- Matchup notes:
- Dodgers feast on inexperienced RHP (top‑5 OPS vs rookie starters).
- Vulnerable to LHB damage — Freeman, Ohtani, Lux all strong matchups.
Pitching Edge: Dodgers (significant)
Key Player Matchups
Dodgers Hitters vs Sproat
- Shohei Ohtani: .311 vs sinkers, .402 xwOBA vs sliders
- Freddie Freeman: .298 vs RHP, elite low‑ball hitter (Sproat lives low)
- Will Smith: .292 vs fastballs 95+
Advantage: Dodgers top‑order
Brewers Hitters vs Yamamoto
- William Contreras: .286 vs splitters, best MIL matchup
- Rhys Hoskins: power threat but high K% vs elite offspeed
- Sal Frelick: contact bat but limited damage vs high‑end velocity
Advantage: Yamamoto
Series History
- 2025 season: Dodgers won season series 4–2
- At American Family Field: Dodgers have won 7 of last 10
- Recent trend: LAD pitching has consistently suppressed MIL’s power at this park.
Betting Trends
Dodgers
- 8–3 in Yamamoto’s last 11 starts
- 12–5 last 17 vs NL Central
- Under is 6–2 in last 8 road games
Brewers
- 10–4 last 14 home games
- 7–1 in Sproat’s last 8 team starts
- Over is 5–1 in last 6 at home
Game Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers – 169
Milwaukee Brewers 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 23, 2026
