First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot Park — Miami, FL
Broadcast: SNY / Bally Sports Florida / MLB.TV
VENUE PROFILE — LOANDEPOT PARK
Location: Miami, Florida
Roof: Retractable (likely closed due to humidity)
Dimensions:
- Left Field: 344 ft
- Left‑Center: 384 ft
- Center: 407 ft
- Right‑Center: 392 ft
- Right Field: 335 ft
Ballpark Tendencies:
- Plays pitcher‑friendly with roof closed
- Deep alleys suppress HRs
- Fast outfield turf boosts singles and doubles
- Right‑handed power is muted
WEATHER FORECAST (MIAMI)
(Roof expected to be closed)
- Temperature: 82–85°F
- Humidity: 70%
- Wind: 12–15 mph (irrelevant with roof closed)
- Rain: 40% chance
Impact:
With the roof closed, expect a neutral-to-pitcher-friendly environment with limited home run carry.
TEAM RECORDS & FORM
New York Mets (22–28)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Road record: 9–15
- Offense: inconsistent, bottom‑third in runs
- Pitching: rotation struggling outside of Senga
Miami Marlins (22–29)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Home record: 12–14
- Offense: improving after slow start
- Pitching: bullpen remains volatile
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
NYM — RHP Christian Myers
2026 Stats:
- 2–4, 4.67 ERA
- WHIP: 1.39
- K/BB: 41/17
- HR allowed: 7 in 44 IP
Scouting Notes:
- Power fastball/slider combo
- Command issues early in counts
- Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters
- Struggles third time through the order
Matchup Outlook:
Miami’s lefties (Chisholm, Sánchez, Arraez) match up well.
MIA — RHP Eu Perez
2026 Stats:
- 3–3, 3.88 ERA
- WHIP: 1.28
- K/BB: 36/11
- HR allowed: 4 in 43 IP
Scouting Notes:
- Heavy sinker, induces ground balls
- Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters
- Can be hit by patient lineups, but Mets are not patient
- Keeps ball in park — ideal for loanDepot
Matchup Outlook:
Perez’s profile is a strong fit vs. a Mets lineup lacking consistent RH power.
INJURY REPORT
New York Mets
- Francisco Alvarez — OUT (thumb surgery)
- Starling Marte — Day‑to‑day (hamstring)
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
- Jeff McNeil — Probable (back tightness)
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (ankle)
- Jake Burger — OUT (oblique)
- Edward Cabrera — OUT (biceps)
- A.J. Puk — Day‑to‑day (forearm)
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
A. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Christian Myers (NYM)
- Chisholm crushes high fastballs
- Myers struggles vs. lefties Advantage: Miami
B. Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Eu Perez (MIA)
- Alonso’s power is muted in Miami
- Perez’s sinker induces grounders Advantage: Miami
C. Luis Arraez (MIA) vs. Mets Pitching
- Contact machine
- Mets struggle vs. high‑contact hitters Advantage: Miami
D. Brandon Nimmo (NYM) vs. Miami Bullpen
- Nimmo’s OBP skills can exploit Miami’s shaky middle relief Advantage: Mets (late innings)
SERIES HISTORY
- Mets lead all‑time series: ~260–240
- At Miami since 2020: Mets 28–22
- 2025 season series: Mets won 8–5
- Mets have won 4 straight series vs. Miami
However, Miami has played better at home in 2026 than expected.
RECENT TEAM FORM
Mets
- Offense averaging 3.9 runs/game last 10
- Bullpen ERA last 7 days: 4.92
- Defense: 5 errors in last 6 games
- Alonso slumping (3-for-24 last 7 games)
Marlins
- Offense averaging 4.6 runs/game last 10
- Bullpen ERA last 7 days: 4.21
- Chisholm heating up (3 HR in last 8 games)
- Arraez hitting .345 in May
BETTING TRENDS
New York Mets
- 2–6 in last 8 road games
- 1–5 in last 6 vs. RHP
- Under is 7–3 in last 10
Miami Marlins
- 4–1 in last 5 home games
- 5–2 in last 7 vs. sub‑.500 teams
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 at home
Matchup Trends
- Mets struggle in pitcher‑friendly parks
- Miami hits better vs. power pitchers
- Mets bullpen trending downward
Game Odds
New York Mets – 119
Miami Marlins 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, May 21, 2026
