First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN / Bally Sports North / MLB.TV
VENUE PROFILE — FENWAY PARK
Location: Boston, Massachusetts
Opened: 1912
Dimensions:
- Left Field: 310 ft (Green Monster)
- Left‑Center: 379 ft
- Center: 390 ft
- Right Field: 302 ft (Pesky Pole)
- Right‑Center: 380 ft
Ballpark Tendencies:
- Left‑handed pitchers struggle with the short RF porch.
- Right‑handed pull hitters thrive vs. lefties.
- High doubles park due to the Monster.
- Wind direction dramatically affects scoring.
WEATHER FORECAST (BOSTON)
- Temperature: 63–66°F at first pitch
- Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to right
- Humidity: 55%
- Rain: <10% chance
Impact:
- Wind out to right helps RH pull hitters and hurts LH starters.
- Cooler temps = slightly reduced carry, but wind offsets it.
- Expect elevated run scoring if pitchers struggle with command.
TEAM RECORDS & FORM
Minnesota Twins (23–27)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Road record: 10–15
- Offense: inconsistent, bottom‑third in OPS
- Pitching: young rotation showing flashes but inconsistent
Boston Red Sox (22–27)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Home record: 11–13
- Offense: streaky but improving
- Bullpen: middle of the pack, volatile in late innings
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
MIN — LHP Connor Prielipp
2026 Stats:
- 1–3, 4.88 ERA
- WHIP: 1.42
- K/BB: 32/15
- HR allowed: 6 in 31 IP
Scouting Notes:
- Slider is his best pitch; swing‑and‑miss vs. lefties.
- Command lapses early in counts.
- Vulnerable to right‑handed pull hitters, especially in small RF parks.
- Fenway is a bad matchup for his profile.
Key Concern:
Boston’s RH bats (Story, Casas, O’Neill, Rafaela) match up extremely well.
BOS — LHP Adam Tolle
2026 Stats:
- 2–4, 4.21 ERA
- WHIP: 1.33
- K/BB: 38/12
- HR allowed: 5 in 38 IP
Scouting Notes:
- Ground‑ball lefty with a heavy sinker.
- Keeps the ball down, reducing Monster damage.
- Struggles vs. teams with strong RH power — but Minnesota lacks that.
- Good matchup vs. Twins’ left‑leaning lineup.
Key Advantage:
Twins rank bottom‑five in MLB vs. left‑handed pitching.
INJURY REPORT
Minnesota Twins
- Carlos Correa — Probable (hamstring tightness)
- Royce Lewis — OUT (quad strain)
- Max Kepler — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
- Jhoan Duran — OUT (forearm)
Boston Red Sox
- Triston Casas — Probable (thumb)
- Masataka Yoshida — OUT (wrist)
- Garrett Whitlock — OUT (elbow)
- Kenley Jansen — Day‑to‑day (back stiffness)
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
A. Trevor Story (BOS) vs. Connor Prielipp (MIN)
- Story crushes lefties (.310/.380/.540 vs LHP in 2026).
- Prielipp’s slider moves into Story’s barrel path. Advantage: Boston
B. Carlos Correa (MIN) vs. Adam Tolle (BOS)
- Correa is Minnesota’s best RH bat vs. lefties.
- Tolle’s sinker can induce weak contact if Correa expands the zone. Advantage: Even
C. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Minnesota Bullpen
- Twins’ bullpen lacks a shutdown lefty.
- Devers has been hot (4 HR in last 10 games). Advantage: Boston
D. Byron Buxton (MIN) vs. Fenway’s Outfield
- Buxton’s speed plays well in Fenway’s gaps.
- But he’s been cold (5-for-32 last 8 games). Advantage: Slight Boston
SERIES HISTORY
- Red Sox lead all‑time series: ~600–520
- At Fenway since 2010: Boston 33–18
- Twins have lost 7 of last 9 in Boston
- Fenway has historically been a bad matchup for Minnesota’s pitching staff
RECENT TEAM FORM
Twins
- Offense averaging 3.7 runs/game over last 10
- Bullpen ERA last 7 days: 5.12
- Defense has been shaky (6 errors in last 5 games)
Red Sox
- Offense averaging 4.9 runs/game over last 10
- Bullpen ERA last 7 days: 3.88
- Starting pitching stabilizing after rough April
BETTING TRENDS
Minnesota
- 1–5 in last 6 road games
- 2–7 in last 9 vs. LHP
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 games
Boston
- 4–1 in last 5 home games vs. sub‑.500 teams
- Over is 5–2 in last 7 at Fenway
- 6–2 in last 8 vs. MIN at home
Matchup Trends
- Fenway + wind out to right = boost to RH power
- Both starters are lefties → Boston advantage
- Twins’ bullpen is in poor form → late‑inning risk
Game Odds
Minnesota Twins 7.5
Boston Red Sox – 145
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, May 21, 2026
