First Pitch: 9:40 PM ET / 6:40 PM PT Venue: T‑Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass Dimensions: LF 331 ft, CF 401 ft, RF 326 ft Park Factor: Pitcher‑friendly, especially at night
Venue & Weather Conditions
T‑Mobile Park — Seattle, WA
Forecast:
- Temperature: 59–62°F
- Wind: 6–9 mph blowing in from left-center
- Humidity: ~72%
- Roof: Likely closed due to cool temps
- Impact:
- Roof‑closed conditions suppress HRs
- Breaking balls get extra bite
- Run environment leans pitcher‑friendly
Expect a low‑scoring environment, especially early.
Team Form & Context
Chicago White Sox (24–22)
- Have won 6 of last 9, climbing above .500.
- Offense averaging 4.6 runs/game in May.
- Rotation ERA in last 10 games: 3.88
- Bullpen improving (3.52 ERA in May).
- Noah Schultz has been one of the most impressive young arms in the AL.
Seattle Mariners (22–26)
- Have lost 5 of last 7, struggling offensively.
- Averaging just 3.9 runs/game in May.
- Pitching staff remains strong (3.77 ERA in last 10).
- Bryan Woo has been excellent when healthy, but Seattle’s offense has not supported him.
Injury Report
Chicago White Sox
- Luis Robert Jr. — PROBABLE (hamstring tightness)
- Yoán Moncada — OUT (back)
- Eloy Jiménez — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
- Garrett Crochet — OUT (shoulder)
Impact: Robert’s availability is the biggest swing factor for Chicago’s run production.
Seattle Mariners
- Julio Rodríguez — Day‑to‑Day (wrist)
- Ty France — OUT (elbow)
- Matt Brash — OUT (elbow)
- Gregory Santos — Day‑to‑Day (shoulder)
Impact: Without France and possibly Julio, Seattle’s lineup is significantly weakened.
Starting Pitching Breakdown
Noah Schultz — LHP, Chicago White Sox
2026 Season Stats:
- Record: 4–2
- ERA: 3.21
- WHIP: 1.14
- K/BB: 56/15
- HR Allowed: 4
- Opp BA: .218
Profile:
- 95–97 mph fastball from elite extension
- Slider is a true wipeout pitch
- Generates weak contact
- Road ERA: 3.44
- Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters (.211 allowed)
Matchup vs. Mariners:
- Seattle’s lineup is right‑hand heavy (Rodríguez, Raleigh switch, Canzone).
- Schultz’s slider is a major problem for Seattle’s swing‑and‑miss tendencies.
Bryan Woo — RHP, Seattle Mariners
2026 Season Stats:
- Record: 3–3
- ERA: 3.58
- WHIP: 1.17
- K/BB: 48/12
- HR Allowed: 5
- Opp BA: .229
Profile:
- 94–96 mph fastball
- Cutter + slider mix
- Excellent command
- Home ERA: 3.22
- Strong vs. left‑handed hitters (.214 allowed)
Matchup vs. White Sox:
- Chicago’s lineup is right‑hand heavy (Vaughn, Jiménez, Robert).
- Woo’s cutter is effective vs. aggressive hitters.
Key Player Matchups
White Sox Hitters vs. Woo
- Luis Robert Jr.: Elite vs. velocity; X‑factor
- Andrew Vaughn: Hot streak; strong vs. cutters
- Eloy Jiménez: Power threat but health uncertain
- Colson Montgomery: Good OBP; handles sliders well
Edge: White Sox (slight)
Mariners Hitters vs. Schultz
- Julio Rodríguez: If active, best SEA matchup
- Cal Raleigh: Power threat but high K-rate
- Josh Rojas: Contact hitter; needs to spark offense
- Mitch Haniger: Veteran presence; declining vs. LHP
Edge: Schultz
Recent Team Trends
Chicago White Sox
- 6–3 in last 9
- Under is 5–2 in last 7
- 6–4 in last 10 road games
- Schultz starts: CWS is 6–3
Seattle Mariners
- 2–5 in last 7
- Under is 6–3 in last 9
- 5–7 in last 12 home games
- Woo starts: SEA is 5–4
Head‑to‑Head Trends
- White Sox have won 4 of last 6
- Under is 7–3 in last 10
- Games at T‑Mobile Park average 7.0 runs over last 10 matchups
GAME ODDS
Chicago White Sox 7
Seattle Mariners – 180
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 17, 2026
