Target Center — Minneapolis, Minnesota
Takeaway: Two teams with playoff expectations meet early in the season as Minnesota hosts Dallas in a matchup featuring elite guard play, contrasting offensive styles, and two rosters still settling into their rotations. Both teams sit at 1–1, both have shown flashes of high‑end potential, and both enter this game with key players nursing early‑season injuries. Expect a fast, physical, high‑tempo contest.
Venue & Game Context
Target Center — Minneapolis, MN
- Capacity: ~19,000
- One of the league’s loudest mid‑market arenas
- Minnesota traditionally plays strong at home, especially early in the season
- Court plays fast; shooting sightlines favor perimeter scorers
Tip‑off: 7:00 PM Central Time
Broadcast: ESPN2, Bally Sports North, WNBA League Pass
Injury Report
Minnesota Lynx
- Napheesa Collier — F — Day-to-day (ankle) Expected to play but may see limited minutes or reduced explosiveness.
- Diamond Miller — G/F — Out (knee) Major loss for wing scoring and defensive versatility.
- Alanna Smith — F — Day-to-day (shoulder) Game‑time decision; impacts frontcourt depth.
Dallas Wings
- Arike Ogunbowale — G — Day-to-day (wrist) Expected to play; shooting efficiency may be affected.
- Natasha Howard — F — Out (foot) Dallas loses a key rebounder and interior defender.
- Maddy Siegrist — F — Day-to-day (illness) Availability uncertain; impacts spacing and bench scoring.
Team Records & Early‑Season Form
Minnesota Lynx (1–1)
- Win: Strong defensive performance, holding opponent under 75
- Loss: Struggled with turnovers and defensive rebounding
- Trend: Defense ahead of offense; Collier carrying scoring load
Dallas Wings (1–1)
- Win: Explosive offensive outing (90+ points)
- Loss: Defensive breakdowns, especially in transition
- Trend: Offense strong, defense inconsistent without Howard
Recent Team Form Indicators
Minnesota
- Averaging 78.5 PPG
- Allowing 76.0 PPG
- Shooting: 44% FG, 33% 3PT
- Strength: Half‑court defense, rim protection
- Weakness: Secondary scoring without Miller
Dallas
- Averaging 86.0 PPG
- Allowing 88.0 PPG
- Shooting: 46% FG, 36% 3PT
- Strength: Guard play, pace, transition scoring
- Weakness: Interior defense without Howard
Key Player Matchups
1. Napheesa Collier (MIN) vs. Satou Sabally (DAL)
- Collier’s versatility vs. Sabally’s length and mobility
- Both are elite two‑way forwards Impact: Whoever wins this matchup likely swings the game.
2. Kayla McBride (MIN) vs. Arike Ogunbowale (DAL)
- McBride’s perimeter defense vs. Arike’s elite shot creation
- Arike may be limited by wrist soreness Impact: Dallas needs Arike to score efficiently.
3. Courtney Williams (MIN) vs. Sevgi Uzun (DAL)
- Williams’ mid‑range game vs. Uzun’s playmaking Impact: Minnesota needs Williams to control pace.
4. Dorka Juhász (MIN) vs. Teaira McCowan (DAL)
- Juhász’s mobility vs. McCowan’s size and rebounding Impact: Dallas has a major interior advantage if McCowan dominates the glass.
Series History
- 2025 Season Series: Dallas won 2–1
- Last 10 meetings: Dallas 6–4
- At Target Center: Minnesota 3–2 over last five
- Games often high‑scoring: 7 of last 10 went over 165 points
Betting Trends (2025 Data + Early 2026)
Minnesota
- 5–2 in last 7 home games
- Under is 6–3 in last 9
- 4–1 ATS in last 5 vs. Dallas at home
Dallas
- 6–3 ATS in last 9 road games
- Over is 7–3 in last 10
- 5–2 in last 7 vs. Minnesota overall
Matchup Trends
- Favorite is 6–4 ATS in last 10
- First‑half Over has hit in 6 of last 8
- Dallas has scored 85+ in 5 of last 7 meetings
GAME ODDS
Minnesota Lynx 178.5
Dallas Wings – 4.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, May 13, 2026
