First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. CT
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, Texas (Retractable Roof)
Venue & Weather Conditions
Minute Maid Park’s retractable roof is almost always closed when Houston temperatures climb, and tonight is no exception.
Houston Forecast (6–10 p.m. CT):
- Temperature: 84–87°F
- Humidity: ~70%
- Wind: 10–13 mph from the south
- Rain: <10%
- Roof Expectation: Closed
- Impact:
- Neutral-to-slightly hitter-friendly indoors
- Short left-field porch boosts right-handed pull hitters
- Pitchers with command can still thrive
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
- Julio Rodríguez — Healthy
- Cal Raleigh — Healthy
- Ty France — Day-to-day (wrist)
- Robbie Ray — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
- Matt Brash — OUT (elbow)
- Bryce Miller — Healthy and scheduled to start
Houston Astros
- Kyle Tucker — Healthy
- Yordan Álvarez — Healthy
- José Altuve — Day-to-day (hamstring tightness)
- Justin Verlander — OUT (shoulder)
- Framber Valdez — OUT (forearm strain)
- Lance McCullers Jr. — Healthy and scheduled to start
Team Records & Recent Form
Seattle Mariners (21–22)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Road Record: 10–12
- Run Differential: -6
- Trend: Pitching strong; offense inconsistent; bullpen stabilizing.
- Yesterday: Beat Houston 4–1 — dominant pitching performance.
Houston Astros (16–27)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Home Record: 9–13
- Run Differential: -38
- Trend: Rotation depleted; bullpen overworked; offense streaky.
- Yesterday: Lost 4–1 — bats quiet again.
Probable Pitching Matchup
Mariners — RHP Bryce Miller (3–3, 3.76 ERA)
- 2026 form: Strong command; excellent fastball life; improving secondary mix.
- Strengths: High-spin four-seamer; good vs. righties; limits hard contact.
- Weaknesses: Occasional home-run issues; struggles when behind in counts.
- Matchup notes: Astros’ lefties (Álvarez, Tucker) are the biggest threats.
Astros — RHP Lance McCullers Jr. (0–1, 4.95 ERA)
(Returning from long injury layoff)
- 2026 form: Still rebuilding stamina; curveball remains elite; command inconsistent.
- Strengths: Heavy curveball usage; induces ground balls; tough on righties.
- Weaknesses: Walks; pitch count climbs quickly; vulnerable to patient hitters.
- Matchup notes: Mariners’ lineup features disciplined bats (Crawford, France).
Pitching Edge: Mariners (Miller)
Key Player Matchups
Mariners Hitters vs. Lance McCullers Jr.
- Julio Rodríguez: Excellent vs. breaking balls; HR threat to left field
- Cal Raleigh: Power vs. righties; could punish hanging curves
- J.P. Crawford: OBP machine; can force long at-bats
Astros Hitters vs. Bryce Miller
- Yordan Álvarez: One of MLB’s best vs. high fastballs; major HR threat
- Kyle Tucker: Strong vs. righties; gap-to-gap power
- Alex Bregman: Patient approach; can exploit Miller’s occasional command lapses
Matchup Edge: Mariners lineup (slightly)
Series History
- 2026 Season: Mariners lead 2–0
- Last 10 Meetings: Mariners lead 6–4
- At Minute Maid Park (last 5 years): Astros still hold a slight edge (~55% wins), but gap has narrowed significantly
Seattle has played Houston tougher than almost any AL West opponent since 2023.
Betting Trends
Mariners
- 5–2 in last 7 vs. AL West
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 road games
- 4–1 in Miller’s last 5 starts
Astros
- 2–8 in last 10 overall
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 at home
- 1–6 in McCullers Jr.’s last 7 starts (dating back to 2023)
Game Odds
Seattle Mariners – 131
Houston Astros 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
