First Pitch: 6:35 p.m. ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
Venue & Weather Conditions
Camden Yards remains one of baseball’s most aesthetically iconic parks, but the deeper left‑field wall installed in 2022 continues to suppress right‑handed pull power.
Baltimore Forecast (6–10 p.m. ET):
- Temperature: 68–72°F
- Wind: 9–12 mph blowing out to right-center
- Humidity: ~62%
- Precipitation: <10% — clear and dry
- Impact:
- Boost for left-handed power hitters (Soto, Henderson)
- Slight lean toward overs if starters struggle early
Injury Report
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge — Healthy
- Juan Soto — Healthy
- Gerrit Cole — OUT (elbow rehab)
- DJ LeMahieu — OUT (foot fracture)
- Giancarlo Stanton — Day-to-day (quad)
- Max Fried — Healthy and scheduled to start
Baltimore Orioles
- Adley Rutschman — Healthy
- Gunnar Henderson — Healthy
- Cedric Mullins — Day-to-day (groin)
- John Means — OUT (elbow)
- Kyle Bradish — Healthy and scheduled to start
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Yankees (27–16)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Road Record: 13–9
- Run Differential: +47
- Trend: Elite top-of-order production; rotation stabilizing with Fried; bullpen improving.
- Yesterday: Lost 6–4 to Baltimore — late-inning bullpen issues.
Baltimore Orioles (19–24)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 10–12
- Run Differential: -22
- Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching depth thin; bullpen taxed.
- Yesterday: Won 6–4 — timely hitting, strong 8th inning.
Probable Pitching Matchup
Yankees — LHP Max Fried (4–2, 3.12 ERA)
- 2026 form: Ace-level command; elite ground-ball rate; excellent vs. righties.
- Strengths: Curveball/slider combo; induces soft contact; thrives in big parks.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable when fastball command drifts; occasional early-inning traffic.
- Matchup notes: Orioles’ right-handed bats (Mountcastle, Westburg) are key tests.
Orioles — RHP Kyle Bradish (1–3, 4.44 ERA)
- 2026 form: Flashes brilliance but inconsistent; recovering from early-season rust.
- Strengths: Sharp slider; strong vs. righties; good at home.
- Weaknesses: Struggles vs. elite left-handed hitters; gives up barrels when behind in counts.
- Matchup notes: Soto and Judge present major matchup problems.
Pitching Edge: Yankees (clear)
Key Player Matchups
Yankees Hitters vs. Kyle Bradish
- Juan Soto: .310+ vs. sliders; wind blowing out to right favors him
- Aaron Judge: HR threat vs. elevated fastballs
- Anthony Volpe: Hot streak; strong vs. breaking balls
Orioles Hitters vs. Max Fried
- Gunnar Henderson: Best matchup; crushes lefties
- Adley Rutschman: Patient approach; can force long at-bats
- Ryan Mountcastle: Power vs. lefties; key swing factor
Matchup Edge: Yankees lineup
Series History
- 2026 Season: Yankees lead 3–2
- Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
- At Camden Yards (last 5 years): Yankees win ~60% of matchups
New York’s power bats have historically thrived in Baltimore.
Betting Trends
Yankees
- 5–1 in Fried’s last 6 starts
- Over is 5–2 in last 7 road games
- 6–1 in last 7 vs. teams under .500
Orioles
- 2–6 in last 8 home games
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 overall
- 1–4 in Bradish’s last 5 starts
GAME ODDS
New York Yankees – 168
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
