Venue: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET / 4:30 p.m. PT
Surface: Hybrid grass
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass (Apple TV)
Weather Report — Cincinnati, OH
- Temperature: 63–67°F at kickoff
- Conditions: Partly cloudy
- Wind: 5–8 mph blowing toward the south goal
- Impact: Mild breeze favors long‑range attempts; otherwise neutral conditions for both clubs.
Injury Report
FC Cincinnati
- Luciano Acosta — Probable (ankle soreness; expected to start)
- Aaron Boupendza — Out (hamstring)
- Miles Robinson — Probable (groin tightness)
- Obinna Nwobodo — Healthy
- DeAndre Yedlin — Healthy
Cincinnati’s attack is limited without Boupendza, but Acosta’s availability is the key factor.
Inter Miami CF
- Lionel Messi — Probable (rest management; expected to play 60–75 minutes)
- Luis Suárez — Probable (knee swelling; expected to start)
- Sergio Busquets — Healthy
- Jordi Alba — Out (calf)
- Facundo Farías — Out (ACL recovery)
Miami’s core remains intact, but Alba’s absence weakens the left flank defensively.
Team Records & Context
- Inter Miami CF: 6‑2‑4 (22 points, 3rd in East)
- FC Cincinnati: 4‑4‑4 (16 points, 8th in East)
- Goal Differential: MIA +6, CIN -1
- Stakes: Miami is pushing toward the top of the conference; Cincinnati is fighting to stay above the playoff line.
Recent Team Form
Inter Miami CF
- Last 5: W–D–L–W–D
- Goals For: 10
- Goals Against: 6
- Trend: Miami’s attack remains elite when Messi and Suárez are on the field. Defensive lapses persist, especially on the counter.
FC Cincinnati
- Last 5: L–W–D–L–D
- Goals For: 5
- Goals Against: 7
- Trend: Cincinnati has struggled to generate consistent offense without Boupendza. Defense has been solid but not airtight.
Key Player Matchups
1. Luciano Acosta (CIN) vs. Sergio Busquets (MIA)
Acosta’s creativity vs. Busquets’ positioning is the tactical centerpiece. If Acosta finds pockets of space, Cincinnati becomes dangerous.
2. Lionel Messi (MIA) vs. Miles Robinson (CIN)
Robinson’s athleticism is crucial to containing Messi’s drifting runs. If Robinson is limited, Miami gains a major advantage.
3. Luis Suárez (MIA) vs. Matt Miazga (CIN)
A physical battle between a veteran striker and a rugged center‑back. Suárez’s movement in the box has been elite this season.
4. Alvas Powell (CIN) vs. Diego Gómez (MIA)
Miami’s right‑sided overloads have been effective. Powell must stay disciplined to prevent cutbacks and late runs.
Series History
- All‑time: Inter Miami leads 4–3–2
- At TQL Stadium: Cincinnati leads 2–1–1
- Recent trend: Miami has won 2 of the last 3 meetings, including a dramatic 3–2 win in 2025.
Betting Trends
Inter Miami CF
- 4–1–2 in last 7 matches
- Overs in 5 of last 7
- 2–1–2 in last 5 away matches
FC Cincinnati
- 1–3–2 in last 6 matches
- Unders in 4 of last 6
- 2–2–1 at home this season
Matchup Trends
- Both teams have scored in 6 of last 8 meetings
- Last 3 meetings averaged 3.3 goals
- Miami has scored 2+ goals in 5 of last 7 matches
MATCH ODDS
Inter Miami FC + 105
FC Cincinnati + 195
Draw + 295
Over 3.5 – 120 Under 3.5 – 105
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
